NBA championship odds: Oklahoma City Thunder lead the way in latest NBA Finals predictions [11/25/2025]

The latest NBA championship odds have been updated as of November 25, 2025, which covers every team's up-to-date NBA title chances.

Thanks to our powerful predictive analytics model, this article will provide insights into the probabiliuy of each NBA team winning the title this season.

According to Dimers' in-house NBA championship odds, the team with the greatest likelihood of winning the NBA title is the Oklahoma City Thunder, followed by the Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets.

Current odds to win NBA championship [11/25/2025]

After simulating the remainder of the regular season and playoffs, our supercomputer has identified the Thunder as the team most likely to become NBA champions, with a probability of 29.9%.

The top five contenders for the NBA championship also include the Nuggets, Rockets, Cavaliers, and Lakers.

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

• Dimers Probability: 29.9%
• Championship Odds: +180

The Thunder are currently projected to have a 29.9% chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, with the most favorable odds of +180 available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Additionally, Oklahoma City is rated with a 38.6% chance of winning the Western Conference, and DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds of +115 for this outcome.

2. Denver Nuggets

• Dimers Probability: 14.5%
• Championship Odds: +700

The Nuggets have a 14.5% chance of clinching the title, and the most favorable odds of +700 can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Furthermore, Denver is rated with a 18.6% chance of winning the Western Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +460 for this scenario.

As well as providing these odds and probabilities on the Nuggets to win the title, Dimers produces NBA player props throughout the season, including points, rebounds and assists projections for Nikola Jokic.

3. Houston Rockets

• Dimers Probability: 7.7%
• Championship Odds: +1100

The Rockets are projected to have a 7.7% chance of securing the 2025/26 NBA title, and you can find the most favorable odds of +1100 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Houston, lead by Jalen Green, is rated with a 12.1% chance of winning the Western Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +700 for this outcome.

Speaking of Jalen Green, make sure you check out our NBA betting trends, where you can find just how often players such as the Rockets star are hitting their prop lines.

4. Cleveland Cavaliers

• Dimers Probability: 7.6%
• Championship Odds: +1000

The Cavaliers are projected to have the next best chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, and the most favorable odds of +1000 can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Looking at the conference probabilities, Cleveland is rated with a 26.4% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +260 for this scenario.

Wondering how Donovan Mitchell and the Cavaliers will fare in their next game? Our NBA predictions page has probabilities for the spread, moneyline and over/under for each and every game on the slate.

5. LA Lakers

• Dimers Probability: 5.6%
• Championship Odds: +1400

The Lakers are projected to have the fifth best chance of securing the title, with the most favorable odds of +1400 currently available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Additionally, Los Angeles is rated with a 8.3% chance of winning the Western Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +900 for this outcome.

NBA title odds as of November 25, 2025

Here, we provide you with the full list of teams in order of most likely to least likely to win the title this season.

Team	Title Probability	Championship Odds
Thunder	29.9%	+180
Nuggets	14.5%	+700 🔥
Rockets	7.7%	+1100
Cavaliers	7.6%	+1000
Lakers	5.6%	+1400
Knicks	5.3%	+1700
Warriors	5.1%	+2200
Timberwolves	4.5%	+2700
Magic	2.3%	+4000
Spurs	2.2%	+5000
Hawks	2.2%	+5000
Pistons	2.1%	+3000
Celtics	2.0%	+6500
76ers	1.9%	+3500
Raptors	1.3%	+10000
Clippers	1.1%	+9000
Heat	1.1%	+7000
Bucks	0.7%	+6500
Mavericks	0.6%	+25000
Bulls	0.6%	+20000
Trail Blazers	0.6%	+100000
Jazz	0.4%	+150000
Grizzlies	0.3%	+100000
Wizards	0.2%	+200000
Nets	0.1%	+200000

NBA teams with a 0% chance of winning the championship

The teams on the list above are the ones that our predictive model thinks have at least a 0.1% chance of winning the NBA title this season. The teams below are either completely out of the running or have won none of our model's thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

• Charlotte Hornets
• New Orleans Pelicans
• Phoenix Suns
• Sacramento Kings
• Indiana Pacers

Check out the latest odds to win the NBA championship if you want to bet on one of the teams that are still in the running.

Make smarter NBA futures betting decisions today - 11/25/2025

At Dimers, we take the responsibility of providing NBA futures picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our futures picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.

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