NBA championship odds: Oklahoma City Thunder lead the way in latest NBA Finals predictions [11/18/2025]

The latest NBA championship odds have been updated as of November 18, 2025, which includes every team's current NBA title chances.

Using our advanced predictive analytics model, this article will provide expertise on the probabiliuy of each NBA team winning the title this season.

According to Dimers' in-house NBA championship odds, the team with the strongest chance of winning the NBA title is the Oklahoma City Thunder, followed by the Denver Nuggets and Cleveland Cavaliers.

Current odds to win NBA championship [11/18/2025]

After simulating the remainder of the regular season and playoffs, our supercomputer has identified the Thunder as the team most likely to become NBA champions, with a probability of 31.0%.

The top five contenders for the NBA championship also include the Nuggets, Cavaliers, Rockets, and Knicks.

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

• Dimers Probability: 31.0%
• Championship Odds: +200

The Thunder are currently projected to have a 31.0% chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, with the most favorable odds of +200 available at BetMGM.

Additionally, Oklahoma City is rated with a 38.5% chance of winning the Western Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +135 for this outcome.

2. Denver Nuggets

• Dimers Probability: 14.1%
• Championship Odds: +650

The Nuggets have a 14.1% chance of clinching the title, and the most favorable odds of +650 can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Furthermore, Denver is rated with a 18.5% chance of winning the Western Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +410 for this scenario.

As well as presenting these odds and probabilities on the Nuggets to win the title, Dimers offers NBA player props throughout the season, including points, rebounds and assists projections for Nikola Jokic.

3. Cleveland Cavaliers

• Dimers Probability: 8.6%
• Championship Odds: +800

The Cavaliers are projected to have an 8.6% chance of securing the 2025/26 NBA title, and you can find the most favorable odds of +800 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Cleveland, lead by Donovan Mitchell, is rated with a 29.0% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +210 for this outcome.

Speaking of Donovan Mitchell, make sure you check out our NBA betting trends, where you can find just how often players such as the Cavaliers star are hitting their prop lines.

4. Houston Rockets

• Dimers Probability: 7.0%
• Championship Odds: +1400

The Rockets are projected to have the next best chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, and the most favorable odds of +1400 can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Looking at the conference probabilities, Houston is rated with a 10.9% chance of winning the Western Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +850 for this scenario.

Wondering how Jalen Green and the Rockets will fare in their next game? Our NBA predictions page has probabilities for the spread, moneyline and over/under for each and every game on the slate.

5. New York Knicks

• Dimers Probability: 5.8%
• Championship Odds: +1500

The Knicks are projected to have the fifth best chance of securing the title, with the most favorable odds of +1500 currently available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Additionally, New York is rated with a 18.4% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +400 for this outcome.

NBA title odds as of November 18, 2025

Here, we provide you with the full list of teams in order of most likely to least likely to win the title this season.

Team	Title Probability	Championship Odds
Thunder	31.0%	+200
Nuggets	14.1%	+650
Cavaliers	8.6%	+800
Rockets	7.0%	+1400
Knicks	5.8%	+1500
Lakers	5.5%	+1500
Warriors	5.1%	+2000
Timberwolves	4.9%	+2700
Pistons	2.9%	+4000
76ers	2.7%	+2700
Magic	2.4%	+5000
Celtics	2.1%	+6000
Spurs	1.7%	+4500
Clippers	1.6%	+7500
Hawks	1.1%	+4500
Bucks	1.0%	+5000
Jazz	0.7%	+150000
Suns	0.6%	+60000
Mavericks	0.5%	+12000
Wizards	0.3%	+200000
Heat	0.2%	+10000

NBA teams with a 0% chance of winning the championship

The teams on the list above are the ones that our predictive model thinks have at least a 0.1% chance of winning the NBA title this season. The teams below are either completely out of the running or have won none of our model's thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

• Charlotte Hornets
• Brooklyn Nets
• Chicago Bulls
• Portland Trail Blazers
• New Orleans Pelicans
• Sacramento Kings
• Toronto Raptors
• Memphis Grizzlies
• Indiana Pacers

Check out the most recent odds to win the NBA championship if you want to bet on one of the teams that are still in the running.

Make informed NBA futures betting decisions today - 11/18/2025

At Dimers, we take the responsibility of providing NBA futures picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our futures picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.

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