NBA championship odds: Oklahoma City Thunder lead the way in latest NBA Finals predictions [11/11/2025]

The latest NBA championship odds have been updated as of November 11, 2025, which considers every team's up-to-date NBA title chances.

Thanks to our powerful predictive analytics model, this article will provide insights into the probabiliuy of each NBA team winning the title this season.

According to Dimers' in-house NBA championship odds, the team with the greatest likelihood of winning the NBA title is the Oklahoma City Thunder, followed by the Denver Nuggets and Cleveland Cavaliers.

Current odds to win NBA championship [11/11/2025]

After simulating the remainder of the regular season and playoffs, our supercomputer has identified the Thunder as the team most likely to become NBA champions, with a probability of 27.0%.

The top five contenders for the NBA championship also include the Nuggets, Cavaliers, Rockets, and Knicks.

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

• Dimers Probability: 27.0%
• Championship Odds: +225

The Thunder are currently projected to have a 27.0% chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, with the most favorable odds of +225 available at BetMGM.

Additionally, Oklahoma City is rated with a 35.5% chance of winning the Western Conference, and DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds of +150 for this outcome.

2. Denver Nuggets

• Dimers Probability: 13.8%
• Championship Odds: +700

The Nuggets have a 13.8% chance of clinching the title, and the most favorable odds of +700 can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Furthermore, Denver is rated with a 19.9% chance of winning the Western Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +430 for this scenario.

As well as presenting these odds and probabilities on the Nuggets to win the title, Dimers produces NBA player props throughout the season, including points, rebounds and assists projections for Nikola Jokic.

3. Cleveland Cavaliers

• Dimers Probability: 8.9%
• Championship Odds: +850

The Cavaliers are projected to have an 8.9% chance of securing the 2025/26 NBA title, and you can find the most favorable odds of +850 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Cleveland, lead by Donovan Mitchell, is rated with a 28.9% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +210 for this outcome.

Speaking of Donovan Mitchell, make sure you check out our NBA betting trends, where you can find just how often players such as the Cavaliers star are hitting their prop lines.

4. Houston Rockets

• Dimers Probability: 7.1%
• Championship Odds: +1300

The Rockets are projected to have the next best chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, and the most favorable odds of +1300 can be found at BetMGM.

Looking at the conference probabilities, Houston is rated with a 10.6% chance of winning the Western Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +800 for this scenario.

Wondering how Jalen Green and the Rockets will fare in their next game? Our NBA predictions page has probabilities for the spread, moneyline and over/under for each and every game on the slate.

5. New York Knicks

• Dimers Probability: 5.9%
• Championship Odds: +1300

The Knicks are projected to have the fifth best chance of securing the title, with the most favorable odds of +1300 currently available at BetMGM.

Additionally, New York is rated with a 18.7% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +390 for this outcome.

NBA title odds as of November 11, 2025

Here, we provide you with the full list of teams in order of most likely to least likely to win the title this season.

Team	Title Probability	Championship Odds
Thunder	27.0%	+225
Nuggets	13.8%	+700 🔥
Cavaliers	8.9%	+850
Rockets	7.1%	+1300
Knicks	5.9%	+1300
Lakers	5.3%	+1600
Warriors	5.2%	+1800
Timberwolves	4.5%	+2200
76ers	3.6%	+2500
Pistons	2.4%	+4500
Magic	2.2%	+4500
Bucks	2.0%	+4000
Clippers	2.0%	+4500
Spurs	1.9%	+4000
Hawks	1.7%	+5500
Celtics	1.3%	+5500
Raptors	1.3%	+15000
Heat	0.7%	+10000
Bulls	0.6%	+15000
Mavericks	0.6%	+6600
Wizards	0.5%	+100000
Pelicans	0.4%	+80000
Grizzlies	0.4%	+60000
Kings	0.4%	+80000
Suns	0.2%	+50000
Jazz	0.2%	+100000

NBA teams with a 0% chance of winning the championship

The teams on the list above are the ones that our predictive model thinks have at least a 0.1% chance of winning the NBA title this season. The teams below are either completely out of the running or have won none of our model's thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

• Charlotte Hornets
• Brooklyn Nets
• Portland Trail Blazers
• Indiana Pacers

Check out the latest odds to win the NBA championship if you want to bet on one of the teams that are still in the running.

Make informed NBA futures betting decisions today - 11/11/2025

At Dimers, we take the responsibility of providing NBA futures picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our futures picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.

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