NBA Playoffs player props today: Wednesday's best props include Stephon Castle [5/6/2026]

Dimers' NBA props are live for May 06, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie and Rudy Gobert.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including 76ers vs. Knicks and Timberwolves vs. Spurs, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop picks for Wednesday's playoffs, 5/6

Sourced from 35+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for May 6, ranked by probability.

Stephon Castle over 5.5 rebounds (+112)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 53.2%
• Projection: 6.1
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on San Antonio's Stephon Castle over 5.5 rebounds. A probability of 53.2% gives this play an edge of 6.0% at +112 odds.

Julian Champagnie over 10.5 points scored (+130)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 51.3%
• Projection: 11.1
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Julian Champagnie’s points scored prop shows a 7.8% edge at +130 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 11.1 points scored on the over 10.5 line.

Stephon Castle over 18.5 points scored (+125)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 50.1%
• Projection: 18.5
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Stephon Castle over 18.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 50.1% probability and a 5.6% edge at +125.

Rudy Gobert over 1.5 blocks (+135)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 49.2%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects Rudy Gobert to record 1.4 blocks today, creating an edge of 6.6% on the over 1.5 line at +135 odds.

De'Aaron Fox over 4.5 rebounds (+175)

• Edge: 10.9%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 4.0
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on De'Aaron Fox over 4.5 rebounds for San Antonio, showing an edge of 10.9% at +175 odds.

Jaden McDaniels over 16.5 points scored (+150)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 46.8%
• Projection: 15.0
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Jaden McDaniels’s points scored prop shows an edge of 6.8% at +150 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 15.0 today.

De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+149)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 46.0%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects De'Aaron Fox for 1.2 steals for San Antonio, creating an edge of 5.8% on over 1.5 at +149 odds.

Victor Wembanyama over 1.5 steals (+159)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 45.5%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Victor Wembanyama for 1.2 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +159 odds and a 6.9% edge.

Naz Reid over 7.5 rebounds (+175)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 44.5%
• Projection: 6.5
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

An 8.1% edge on the over 1.5 rebounds line makes Naz Reid a value play in Timberwolves vs. Spurs, with our model projecting him for 6.5 rebounds at +175 odds.

Anthony Edwards under 0.5 steals (+156)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 44.2%
• Projection: 0.9
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Simulations project Anthony Edwards for 0.9 steals here, creating a 5.1% edge on the under 0.5 line at +156 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Wednesday, May 6, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 8:56PM ET:

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Conclusion

For May 6, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie and Rudy Gobert. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.