Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Spurs NBA game on May 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
95
133
May 7, 1:30AM Frost Bank Center
May 7, 1:30AM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 17 | 18 | 28 | 32 | 95 |
Spurs | 24 | 35 | 39 | 35 | 133 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 17 | 18 | 28 | 32 | 95 |
Spurs | 24 | 35 | 39 | 35 | 133 |
Q4 00:03 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:44 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Julian Phillips misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:54 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:34 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
95-133
Joe Ingles defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
93-133
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
90-133
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Julian Phillips misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
90-131
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
90-129
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Kyle Anderson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Kyle Anderson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
87-129
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
85-129
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Joan Beringer defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Kyle Anderson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Bismack Biyombo, Jordan McLaughlin, Kelly Olynyk, Lindy Waters III)
+1
Kyle Anderson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-127
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs turnover
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
+2
Joan Beringer makes two point putback layup
84-127
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
82-127
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
82-124
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs personal foul
Joan Beringer misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
+1
Joan Beringer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-124
Joan Beringer defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Jordan McLaughlin turnover
Joe Ingles misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
+1
Joe Ingles makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-124
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Lindy Waters III turnover (lost ball) (Joe Ingles steals)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
77-124
Lindy Waters III offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
77-121
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
75-121
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Kyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-118
Kyle Anderson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
74-118
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Joan Beringer turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-115
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-116
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
74-114
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
72-114
Timberwolves turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
72-112
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Lindy Waters III turnover (lost ball)
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Joan Beringer, Kyle Anderson, Joe Ingles, Julian Phillips, Jaylen Clark)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Jordan McLaughlin, Kelly Olynyk, Lindy Waters III, Harrison Barnes)
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
72-109
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
69-109
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
69-106
Kyle Anderson offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
67-106
Spurs personal foul
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-104
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-104
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Jordan McLaughlin, Kelly Olynyk, Harrison Barnes)
Timberwolves lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Joe Ingles, Julian Phillips, Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaylen Clark)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-104
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-102
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
65-100
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
63-100
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs offensive rebound
Carter Bryant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Carter Bryant misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaylen Clark, Jaden McDaniels)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
63-98
Spurs personal foul
Carter Bryant turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves personal foul
Rudy Gobert turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-97
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Bones Hyland, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-98
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
60-96
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
58-96
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
58-93
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes)
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Dylan Harper turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves personal foul
Kyle Anderson turnover (offensive foul)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
58-90
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-89
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-90
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
55-88
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson, Anthony Edwards, Bones Hyland, Rudy Gobert)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
55-85
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
55-82
Spurs personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-79
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-79
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-78
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson, Anthony Edwards, Bones Hyland)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-79
Spurs defensive rebound
Jump ball. (Keldon Johnson gains possession)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-77
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs personal foul
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-76
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-76
Jump ball. (Devin Vassell gains possession)
Instant replay
Spurs personal foul
Stephon Castle turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Devin Vassell makes technical free throw 1 of 1
51-76
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
Keldon Johnson turnover (lost ball)
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
51-75
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
49-74
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
49-75
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr.)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
49-72
Terrence Shannon Jr. offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-71
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-72
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaden McDaniels)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
47-70
Dylan Harper turnover
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
45-69
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
45-70
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-66
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle)
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
44-66
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
44-64
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
42-64
Spurs personal foul
Julius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
40-64
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
37-64
Spurs turnover
Spurs personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs challenge timeout
Instant replay
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
35-64
Rudy Gobert turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
35-61
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves personal foul
Rudy Gobert turnover (offensive foul)
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle)
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Mike Conley, Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-59
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Jaylen Clark, Rudy Gobert)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
34-59
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell)
Timberwolves turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
34-57
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
34-54
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
34-52
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
34-50
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
34-48
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
32-48
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Terrence Shannon Jr. offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
32-46
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
32-44
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-44
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
30-43
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-43
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr., Rudy Gobert)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-43
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr., Rudy Gobert)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
26-43
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
26-40
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
26-38
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr., Ayo Dosunmu, Rudy Gobert)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell)
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 3
24-37
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 3 of 3
24-38
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Mike Conley defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
24-36
Spurs personal foul
Carter Bryant turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs personal foul
Spurs turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Stephon Castle turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
24-33
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-32
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-33
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-30
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-31
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Jaylen Clark)
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
Timberwolves personal foul
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Jaden McDaniels)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-29
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
22-28
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
19-28
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
19-26
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
19-24
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Instant replay
End of 1st Quarter.
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
17-24
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
17-21
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
14-21
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Terrence Shannon Jr. turnover (bad pass)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves turnover
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-18
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-19
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr., Ayo Dosunmu, Rudy Gobert)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
14-17
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-14
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-15
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
14-13
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves personal foul
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert)
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-13
Spurs turnover
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
11-13
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle)
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Mike Conley, Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert)
Jaden McDaniels misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
9-13
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
9-11
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
7-10
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
7-11
Timberwolves personal foul
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
7-8
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
7-6
Spurs turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
5-6
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
3-6
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-4
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
2-4
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
2-2
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
0-2
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves turnover
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle)
Rudy Gobert vs. Victor Wembanyama (Stephon Castle gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 19 | J. Beringer | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 22 | J. Clark | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 4 | J. Phillips | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| F-G | 12 | K. Anderson | 8 | 3 | 4 |
| F-G | 7 | J. Ingles | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 18 | B. Biyombo | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| F-C | 8 | K. Olynyk | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| F-C | 45 | M. Plumlee | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 0 | J. McLaughlin | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| F | 43 | L. Waters III | 8 | 4 | 1 |
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Timberwolves vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Timberwolves vs. Spurs
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -9.5
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5
- Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves +361, Spurs -365
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Timberwolves: 21%
- Spurs: 79%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 104-114 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 21%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 79%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Timberwolves in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Timberwolves vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
