Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds
Spread
- Mavericks
- Timberwolves
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Flagg | |||
| K. Irving | |||
| P. Washington | |||
| N. Marshall | |||
| D. Gafford |
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ball | |||
| A. Dosunmu | |||
| J. McDaniels | |||
| J. Kuminga | |||
| B. Hyland |
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prediction & analysis
Game overview: NBA Thursday
- Teams: Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
- Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
- Venue: Target Center
Current betting odds
- Spread: Mavericks (+5.5, +104), Timberwolves (-5.5, -108)
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points (-102/-104)
- Moneyline: Mavericks +194, Timberwolves -194
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Mavericks: 33.5%
- Timberwolves: 66.5%
Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Mavericks 111 and Timberwolves 116.
This is a margin of 5 points against a spread of 5.5, and a projected total of 227 points against a market line of 227.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 33.5%, while the Timberwolves have a win probability of 66.5%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Target Center on Thursday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Mavericks vs. Timberwolves, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.
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