NBA player props today: Tuesday's best props include Mitchell Robinson [3/3/2026]

Mitchell Robinson over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 12.0%
• Probability: 47.9%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Knicks vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET)

Our model has found value on New York's Mitchell Robinson over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 47.9% gives this play an edge of 12.0% at +178 odds.

Bam Adebayo over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.6%
• Probability: 45.6%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Nets vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

Bam Adebayo’s steals prop shows an 11.6% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Daniel Gafford over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 11.4%
• Probability: 47.4%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Mavericks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Daniel Gafford over 1.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 47.4% probability and an 11.4% edge at +178.

Jarrett Allen over 1.5 blocks (+175)

• Edge: 11.4%
• Probability: 47.7%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Jarrett Allen to put up 1.2 blocks today, creating an edge of 11.4% on the over 1.5 line at +175 odds.

Immanuel Quickley over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.1%
• Probability: 45.1%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Knicks vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Immanuel Quickley over 1.5 steals for Toronto, showing an edge of 11.1% at +194 odds.

Tre Jones over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.0%
• Probability: 45.0%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Thunder vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)

Tre Jones’s steals prop shows an edge of 11.0% at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 today.

Moussa Diabate over 1.5 blocks (+170)

• Edge: 11.0%
• Probability: 48.0%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Mavericks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Moussa Diabate for 1.3 blocks for Charlotte, creating an edge of 11.0% on over 1.5 at +170 odds.

Day'Ron Sharpe over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 10.8%
• Probability: 44.8%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Nets vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Day'Ron Sharpe for 1.1 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +194 odds and a 10.8% edge.

Jaden McDaniels over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 46.0%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET)

A 10.0% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Jaden McDaniels a value play in Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves, with our model projecting him for 1.2 steals at +178 odds.

Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 blocks (+165)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 47.7%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Nets vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

Simulations project Andrew Wiggins for 1.2 blocks here, creating a 10.0% edge on the over 1.5 line at +165 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Tuesday, March 3, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 10:33AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Knicks vs. Raptors	Mitchell Robinson over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	12.0%	47.9%
Nets vs. Heat	Bam Adebayo over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.6%	45.6%
Mavericks vs. Hornets	Daniel Gafford over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	11.4%	47.7%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen over 1.5 blocks	+175 @ BetMGM	11.4%	47.7%
Knicks vs. Raptors	Immanuel Quickley over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.1%	45.1%
Thunder vs. Bulls	Tre Jones over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.0%	45.0%
Mavericks vs. Hornets	Moussa Diabate over 1.5 blocks	+170 @ BetMGM	11.0%	48.0%
Nets vs. Heat	Day'Ron Sharpe over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	10.8%	44.8%
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves	Jaden McDaniels over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	10.0%	46.0%
Nets vs. Heat	Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 blocks	+165 @ BetMGM	10.0%	47.7%

Conclusion

For March 3, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Mitchell Robinson, Bam Adebayo and Daniel Gafford. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.