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Nets vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nets vs. Heat NBA game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
98
124
Mar 4, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Mar 4, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nets | 28 | 26 | 44 | 0 | 98 |
Heat | 34 | 35 | 55 | 0 | 124 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nets | 28 | 26 | 44 | 0 | 98 |
Heat | 34 | 35 | 55 | 0 | 124 |
Q4 00:11 Nets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:25 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Nets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:17 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Nets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Nets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:56 Myron Gardner makes three point jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
Q4 3:13 Nets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
98-124
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware personal foul (Grant Nelson draws the foul)
Nets offensive rebound
Grant Nelson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nets offensive rebound
+1
Grant Nelson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-124
Nets misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
+1
Grant Nelson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-124
+1
Grant Nelson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-124
Heat personal foul
Heat turnover
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nets turnover
Nets personal foul
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-124
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-124
Heat offensive rebound
Nets personal foul
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets misses three point jump shot
Nets 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jahmir Young, Simone Fontecchio, Myron Gardner)
Nets lineup change (Danny Wolf, Ochai Agbaji, Grant Nelson, Jalen Wilson, Ben Saraf)
+3
Myron Gardner makes three point jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
98-124
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
98-124
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
93-117
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
93-115
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Ben Saraf assists)
93-113
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio, Myron Gardner)
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio, Myron Gardner)
Nic Claxton defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Noah Clowney makes three point jump shot (Ben Saraf assists)
98-124
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot
98-124
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
98-124
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
98-124
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
98-124
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk
98-124
Bam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Terance Mann shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-107
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+2
Noah Clowney makes two point running finger roll layup
98-124
Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Nic Claxton steals)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets misses three point jump shot
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Terance Mann, Ben Saraf)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
98-124
Nets 60 second timeout
Nets turnover
Terance Mann defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Noah Clowney misses three point jump shot
Nolan Traore personal foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 3 of 3
98-124
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 3
98-124
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 3
98-124
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Terance Mann)
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
98-124
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
80-101
Nets turnover
Danny Wolf defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nolan Traore misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Nolan Traore, Danny Wolf, Michael Porter Jr., Ziaire Williams)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
98-124
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
+3
Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
98-124
+3
Ziaire Williams makes three point jump shot
98-124
Danny Wolf personal foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-124
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-124
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Ziaire Williams draws the foul)
+1
Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-124
+1
Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-124
Heat misses two point jump shot
Josh Minott defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Ben Saraf misses two point jump shot
Nets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Ben Saraf turnover (lost ball) (Kasparas Jakucionis steals)
Heat turnover
Nets offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Nets misses three point jump shot
+3
Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot
93-117
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Danny Wolf makes two point jump shot
71-88
Heat turnover
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-88
+1
Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-124
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
98-124
+2
Day'Ron Sharpe makes two point putback layup
98-124
Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
98-124
Danny Wolf turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
98-124
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
98-124
Josh Minott defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
93-117
Nets turnover
Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Day'Ron Sharpe makes two point cutting dunk (Danny Wolf assists)
67-78
Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins personal foul (Ziaire Williams draws the foul)
Heat turnover
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
98-124
Danny Wolf defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins misses two point running layup
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Josh Minott, Danny Wolf, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Danny Wolf misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive foul (Charge) (Ben Saraf draws the foul)
Kel'el Ware turnover (offensive foul)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Ziaire Williams misses two point floating jump shot
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Danny Wolf, Terance Mann, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
Heat 60 second timeout
Nets offensive rebound
Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Danny Wolf, Terance Mann, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Instant replay
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
Instant replay
Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Danny Wolf, Terance Mann, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Noah Clowney, Terance Mann, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Danny Wolf, Terance Mann, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
Tyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. (Terance Mann gains possession)
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Noah Clowney, Terance Mann, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
84-107
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Ziaire Williams steals)
Heat personal foul
Terance Mann personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Heat offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nolan Traore defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nets personal foul
Noah Clowney turnover (offensive foul)
Heat turnover
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Ziaire Williams personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Nets offensive rebound
+1
Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-101
Heat personal foul
Ziaire Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Noah Clowney defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
98-124
Noah Clowney defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Nets turnover
Bam Adebayo personal foul
Heat personal foul
+1
Noah Clowney makes technical free throw 1 of 1
98-124
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Terance Mann, Ziaire Williams)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
98-124
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
98-124
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
71-88
Terance Mann offensive rebound
Terance Mann misses three point running jump shot
Nic Claxton defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point driving finger roll layup
Terance Mann defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point driving layup
82-101
Nets personal foul
Andrew Wiggins personal foul (Terance Mann draws the foul)
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
+1
Terance Mann makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-124
+1
Terance Mann makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-124
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nolan Traore turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point running dunk (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
54-69
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Nolan Traore misses two point driving floating jump shot
Nolan Traore defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Davion Mitchell personal foul (Nolan Traore draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
+1
Nolan Traore makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-78
+1
Nolan Traore makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-78
Nic Claxton shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-69
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-78
+3
Nolan Traore makes three point jump shot
54-69
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
54-69
Nets offensive rebound
Nets turnover (shot clock violation)
Terance Mann misses three point jump shot
Nets violation
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Andrew Wiggins blocks Nolan Traore's two point driving layup
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Nets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
54-69
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-74
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets offensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-74
Pelle Larsson personal foul (Noah Clowney draws the foul)
Noah Clowney technical foul (Double)
Tyler Herro technical foul (Double)
+1
Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-69
+1
Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-69
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
52-67
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Nets personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
52-67
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
52-67
Nets misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Nets personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets misses two point jump shot
Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
Noah Clowney misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nets offensive rebound
+1
Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-59
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
49-59
Noah Clowney defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)
Nets misses three point jump shot
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
49-59
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
49-59
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 3
49-59
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
49-59
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Noah Clowney defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
Nets personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-59
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Terance Mann)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Ziaire Williams)
Kel'el Ware personal foul (Noah Clowney draws the foul)
+1
Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-49
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
+1
Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-49
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Ziaire Williams)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kel'el Ware personal foul
Nets offensive rebound
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Terance Mann)
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul (Loose ball) (Nic Claxton draws the foul)
Nic Claxton misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nic Claxton offensive rebound
Heat defensive rebound
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Ziaire Williams)
Nets personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-59
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-59
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Danny Wolf's two point floating jump shot
Danny Wolf offensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nets 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio)
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Danny Wolf, Michael Porter Jr., Ziaire Williams)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
39-47
Nets turnover
+3
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot
39-44
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
39-47
Danny Wolf defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nets turnover
Day'Ron Sharpe personal foul
Nets lineup change (Josh Minott, Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Danny Wolf, Ziaire Williams)
Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
37-41
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
35-41
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
35-39
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
33-39
Heat personal foul
+1
Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 3
31-37
+1
Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 3
32-37
+1
Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 3 of 3
33-37
Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
30-37
Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
28-37
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Ben Saraf turnover
Josh Minott defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nets turnover
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Ben Saraf misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Ben Saraf turnover (bad pass)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
28-34
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nets personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-30
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
28-29
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-29
Kel'el Ware misses two point tip layup
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nets turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
26-27
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
26-24
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
23-24
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
23-22
Danny Wolf defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
21-22
Heat turnover
Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Josh Minott, Danny Wolf, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
19-22
Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
Nets personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
17-22
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio)
Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Danny Wolf, Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Ziaire Williams offensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nets misses two point jump shot
Noah Clowney defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Ben Saraf offensive rebound
+2
Ben Saraf makes two point tip layup
17-21
Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Nets misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
15-21
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Noah Clowney defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
15-19
Heat personal foul
Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
Michael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
13-19
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
13-17
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Terance Mann, Ben Saraf)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Nets turnover
+2
Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot
11-17
Heat personal foul
+1
Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-15
+1
Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-15
Heat misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Nets personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-14
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-15
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
9-13
Nets 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
7-13
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Noah Clowney defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nic Claxton defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Terance Mann makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
7-11
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)
5-11
+2
Nolan Traore makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
5-9
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup (Pelle Larsson assists)
3-9
+3
Nolan Traore makes three point jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)
3-7
Nic Claxton defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point running layup
Nolan Traore turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
+3
Andrew Wiggins makes three point stepback jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
0-7
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins blocks Michael Porter Jr.'s two point driving layup
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup
0-4
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Pelle Larsson misses two point running layup
Nolan Traore turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
0-1
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
0-2
Michael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot
Nets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Davion Mitchell misses three point jump shot
Nic Claxton vs. Bam Adebayo (Tyler Herro gains possession)
Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Terance Mann)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 2 | D. Wolf | 11 | 5 | 5 |
| F | 22 | J. Wilson | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 16 | G. Nelson | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 30 | O. Agbaji | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 77 | B. Saraf | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 15 | M. Gardner | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 0 | S. Fontecchio | 12 | 3 | 1 |
| C | 7 | K. Ware | 11 | 13 | 1 |
| G | 25 | K. Jakucionis | 9 | 1 | 5 |
| G | 17 | J. Young | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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Nets vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nets vs. Heat
- Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -12.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nets +525, Heat -650
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nets: 17%
- Heat: 83%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nets 108-119 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nets a win probability of 17%, while the Heat have a win probability of 83%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Nets in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nets vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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