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Pistons vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Cavaliers NBA game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
109
113
Mar 4, 12AM Rocket Arena
Mar 4, 12AM Rocket Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 27 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 109 |
Cavaliers | 25 | 29 | 35 | 23 | 113 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
13%
87%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 27 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 109 |
Cavaliers | 25 | 29 | 35 | 23 | 113 |
Q4 00:00 Jalen Duren misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:03 Jalen Duren makes two point running dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)
Q4 00:21 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:54 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Pistons offensive rebound
Jalen Duren misses three point jump shot
End of 4th Quarter.
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Jaylon Tyson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Jaylon Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-112
+2
Jalen Duren makes two point running dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)
105-112
Cavaliers turnover
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
105-112
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Dennis Schroder turnover
Ausar Thompson violation
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
105-112
Cade Cunningham turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
105-112
Pistons 60 second timeout
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-112
Cade Cunningham personal foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
105-107
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
103-107
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
103-104
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jaylon Tyson personal foul (Cade Cunningham draws the foul)
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-112
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-112
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Duncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)
Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
+3
Evan Mobley makes three point pullup jump shot
99-104
+2
Tobias Harris makes two point stepback jump shot
105-112
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
Keon Ellis personal foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)
Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
Keon Ellis turnover
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley personal foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-112
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound
James Harden misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
105-112
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
Craig Porter Jr. turnover (Duncan Robinson steals)
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-97
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-97
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Craig Porter Jr., Sam Merrill, James Harden)
Ausar Thompson personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-112
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-112
+2
Javonte Green makes two point alley-oop dunk (Ausar Thompson assists)
88-97
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
105-112
Duncan Robinson shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-107
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green, Jalen Duren, Daniss Jenkins)
Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Craig Porter Jr., Sam Merrill, James Harden)
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-112
Pistons turnover
Jaylon Tyson turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
105-112
James Harden turnover
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
86-97
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-112
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
James Harden turnover (Isaiah Stewart steals)
Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, Jaylon Tyson, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+2
Ausar Thompson makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
105-107
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart)
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Keon Ellis misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart misses two point tip layup
Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
105-112
Keon Ellis defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Jaylon Tyson makes three point jump shot
105-112
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
105-112
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart)
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
105-112
Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Tobias Harris misses three point jump shot
+3
Dennis Schroder makes three point jump shot
80-87
+2
Tobias Harris makes two point jump shot (Daniss Jenkins assists)
79-84
Thomas Bryant shooting foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1
80-87
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Thomas Bryant blocks Daniss Jenkins's two point driving layup
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
96-101
Pistons personal foul
+1
Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
105-112
Keon Ellis personal foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-101
Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, Jaylon Tyson, Craig Porter Jr., Dennis Schroder)
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-101
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
80-87
+2
Caris LeVert makes two point jump shot
80-87
Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
Caris LeVert misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-87
Tobias Harris misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
Dennis Schroder personal foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)
Caris LeVert shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
80-87
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
96-101
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris)
Pistons turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, Craig Porter Jr., James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Craig Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Ronald Holland II makes two point putback layup
80-87
Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-87
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-97
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart)
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-94
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-94
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
James Harden misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Jalen Duren)
+3
Craig Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot
72-78
Evan Mobley personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-87
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-94
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren)
Cade Cunningham misses three point jump shot
+2
Dennis Schroder makes two point running finger roll layup
80-87
Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 1
85-94
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Craig Porter Jr., James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Ausar Thompson blocks Evan Mobley's two point driving finger roll layup
Jalen Duren turnover
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
85-94
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1
85-94
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
63-67
Pistons turnover
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
James Harden defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
72-78
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Instant replay (Challenge)
Pistons personal foul
Pistons 60 second timeout
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
63-67
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
63-67
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
63-67
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
63-67
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
63-67
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-67
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Jaylon Tyson misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
63-67
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
63-67
Jalen Duren shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-65
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
James Harden offensive rebound
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-67
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot
51-54
Jaylon Tyson personal foul (Cade Cunningham draws the foul)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
48-54
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Keon Ellis offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris)
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-54
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
46-53
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
46-51
Stoppage (Other)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
44-51
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
44-48
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
42-48
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Cavaliers turnover
Pistons personal foul
Pistons turnover
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Keon Ellis turnover
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Keon Ellis shooting foul
Instant replay
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Jalen Duren misses two point running layup
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-48
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-48
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Pistons turnover
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
38-48
James Harden offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-45
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-44
Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green, Jalen Duren)
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-45
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
37-43
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
37-40
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
34-40
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
34-38
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
34-35
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
32-35
Pistons 60 second timeout
Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
32-33
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
29-33
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
29-31
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
29-28
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
29-25
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart)
Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Craig Porter Jr., Dennis Schroder)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
27-25
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
24-25
Pistons personal foul
Jaylon Tyson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
24-23
Pistons personal foul
+1
Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-22
+1
Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-23
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
21-21
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Keon Ellis defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, Jaylon Tyson, Craig Porter Jr., Dennis Schroder)
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-21
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
17-21
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
17-19
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
15-19
Pistons turnover
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
15-17
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
15-15
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
13-15
Pistons personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Jarrett Allen, Craig Porter Jr., James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart)
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
13-13
Pistons personal foul
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-12
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris)
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-13
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
11-11
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
9-11
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
6-11
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
4-11
James Harden defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
4-9
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons 60 second timeout
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
2-9
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
2-6
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Jalen Duren turnover
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-4
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
1-4
Cavaliers personal foul
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
1-2
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
(James Harden gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 12 | T. Harris | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| C | 0 | J. Duren | 24 | 14 | 1 |
| F | 9 | A. Thompson | 16 | 6 | 6 |
| G | 2 | C. Cunningham | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| G | 31 | J. Green | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 4 | E. Mobley | 18 | 5 | 4 |
| G | 8 | D. Schroder | 15 | 5 | 5 |
| G | 5 | S. Merrill | 9 | 0 | 2 |
| F | 20 | J. Tyson | 22 | 3 | 4 |
| G | 1 | J. Harden | 18 | 5 | 7 |
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Pistons vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pistons vs. Cavaliers
- Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pistons favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pistons -137, Cavaliers +125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pistons: 59%
- Cavaliers: 41%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 115-112 Cavaliers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 59%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Cavaliers in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pistons vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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