NBA player props today: Tuesday's best props include LeBron James [1/6/2026]

Dimers' NBA props are live for January 06, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of LeBron James, Zion Williamson and Anthony Davis.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Cavaliers vs. Pacers and Spurs vs. Grizzlies, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop picks for Tuesday, 1/6

Sourced from 30+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for January 6, ranked by edge.

LeBron James over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 13.3%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Lakers vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on LA Lakers' LeBron James over 1.5 steals. A probability of 47.3% gives this play an edge of 13.3% at +194 odds.

Zion Williamson over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 12.1%
• Probability: 46.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Lakers vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Zion Williamson’s steals prop shows a 12.1% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Anthony Davis over 1.5 steals (+170)

• Edge: 11.2%
• Probability: 48.2%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Mavericks vs. Kings (11:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Anthony Davis over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 48.2% probability and an 11.2% edge at +170.

T.J. McConnell over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 10.5%
• Probability: 44.5%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects T.J. McConnell to put up 1.1 steals today, creating an edge of 10.5% on the over 1.5 line at +194 odds.

Marcus Smart over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 10.5%
• Probability: 50.8%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Lakers vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Marcus Smart over 1.5 steals for LA Lakers, showing an edge of 10.5% at +148 odds.

De'Aaron Fox over 2.5 3-pointers made (+148)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 50.1%
• Projection: 2.5
• Game: Spurs vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

De'Aaron Fox’s 3-pointers made prop shows an edge of 9.7% at +148 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.5 today.

Russell Westbrook over 1.5 steals (+152)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 48.6%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Mavericks vs. Kings (11:00PM ET)

Our model projects Russell Westbrook for 1.4 steals for Sacramento, creating an edge of 8.9% on over 1.5 at +152 odds.

Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 steals (+164)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 46.4%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Heat vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Andrew Wiggins for 1.3 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +164 odds and a 8.5% edge.

Zach LaVine under 0.5 steals (+164)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 46.3%
• Projection: 0.8
• Game: Mavericks vs. Kings (11:00PM ET)

An 8.4% edge on the under 1.5 steals line makes Zach LaVine a value play in Mavericks vs. Kings, with our model projecting him for 0.8 steals at +164 odds.

Anthony Black over 1.5 steals (+126)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 52.6%
• Projection: 1.7
• Game: Magic vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Simulations project Anthony Black for 1.7 steals here, creating a 8.4% edge on the over 1.5 line at +126 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Tuesday, January 6, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 6:54PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Lakers vs. Pelicans	LeBron James over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	13.3%	47.3%
Lakers vs. Pelicans	Zion Williamson over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	12.1%	46.2%
Mavericks vs. Kings	Anthony Davis over 1.5 steals	+170 @ DraftKings	10.5%	44.5%
Cavaliers vs. Pacers	T.J. McConnell over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	10.5%	44.5%
Lakers vs. Pelicans	Marcus Smart over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	10.5%	50.8%
Spurs vs. Grizzlies	De'Aaron Fox over 2.5 3-pointers made	+148 @ FanDuel	9.7%	50.1%
Mavericks vs. Kings	Russell Westbrook over 1.5 steals	+152 @ DraftKings	8.9%	48.6%
Heat vs. Timberwolves	Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 steals	+164 @ DraftKings	8.5%	46.4%
Mavericks vs. Kings	Zach LaVine under 1.5 steals	+164 @ FanDuel	8.4%	46.3%
Magic vs. Wizards	Anthony Black over 1.5 steals	+126 @ FanDuel	8.4%	52.6%

Conclusion

For January 6, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as LeBron James, Zion Williamson and Anthony Davis. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.