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Heat vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Timberwolves NBA game on January 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
94
122
Jan 7, 1AM Target Center
Jan 7, 1AM Target Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 29 | 29 | 36 | 0 | 94 |
Timberwolves | 27 | 42 | 53 | 0 | 122 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
1%
99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 29 | 29 | 36 | 0 | 94 |
Timberwolves | 27 | 42 | 53 | 0 | 122 |
Q4 00:02 Myron Gardner misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:14 Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)
Q4 00:24 Leonard Miller makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:26 Rob Dillingham misses two point running finger roll layup
Q4 00:38 Leonard Miller makes two point jump shot (Rob Dillingham assists)
Q4 00:44 Kel'el Ware misses three point running pullup jump shot
Q4 00:52 Johnny Juzang misses two point driving hook shot
Q4 1:01 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Joe Ingles defensive rebound
Myron Gardner misses three point jump shot
Rob Dillingham turnover (bad pass) (Myron Gardner steals)
+3
Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)
94-122
+2
Leonard Miller makes two point jump shot
91-122
Leonard Miller offensive rebound
Rob Dillingham misses two point running finger roll layup
Keshad Johnson turnover
+2
Leonard Miller makes two point jump shot (Rob Dillingham assists)
94-122
Rob Dillingham defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses three point running pullup jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Johnny Juzang misses two point driving hook shot
Johnny Juzang defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
94-122
Heat turnover
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Leonard Miller offensive rebound
Johnny Juzang misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Joan Beringer misses two point jump shot
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
Rob Dillingham misses two point jump shot
Keshad Johnson personal foul (Johnny Juzang draws the foul)
+2
Myron Gardner makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kel'el Ware assists)
94-122
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
94-122
+3
Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Myron Gardner assists)
94-122
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
86-114
Leonard Miller shooting foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-112
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-112
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
94-122
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Joe Ingles personal foul
+1
Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-112
+1
Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-122
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Joe Ingles misses three point jump shot
Leonard Miller defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Kasparas Jakucionis turnover
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves lineup change (Rob Dillingham, Joan Beringer, Johnny Juzang, Joe Ingles, Leonard Miller)
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point jump shot
94-122
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Myron Gardner)
Heat 60 second timeout
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Pelle Larsson offensive foul (Bones Hyland draws the foul)
Pelle Larsson turnover (offensive foul)
Heat personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-122
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-122
+2
Norman Powell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jovic assists)
94-122
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point jump shot
94-122
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 1
94-122
Jaden McDaniels misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves personal foul
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
94-122
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
Anthony Edwards misses two point jump shot
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
79-103
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert turnover (offensive foul)
Rudy Gobert offensive foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
79-103
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
Heat turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
Heat defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
71-84
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
+3
Bones Hyland makes three point jump shot
94-122
Heat 60 second timeout
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point pullup jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point reverse layup
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Bones Hyland offensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses three point running jump shot
Rudy Gobert turnover (Nikola Jovic steals)
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Naz Reid misses two point turnaround hook shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Davion Mitchell misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point jump shot
94-122
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point jump shot
Norman Powell offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Naz Reid misses two point floating jump shot
Rudy Gobert misses two point tip layup
Heat defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Nikola Jovic turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves personal foul
Heat defensive rebound
Bones Hyland misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware)
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
+3
Donte DiVincenzo makes three point pullup jump shot
71-84
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
71-84
+3
Donte DiVincenzo makes three point stepback jump shot
71-84
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)
71-84
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
71-84
Naz Reid personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-103
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-122
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Jaylen Clark personal foul
Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-103
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
70-84
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Julius Randle blocks Pelle Larsson's two point putback layup
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Pelle Larsson misses two point putback layup
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point running finger roll layup
Timberwolves turnover
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Mike Conley misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Nikola Jovic blocks Naz Reid's two point driving layup
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Mike Conley)
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Mike Conley)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
Mike Conley defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
71-84
Heat personal foul
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-84
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves turnover
Heat turnover
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point fadeaway jump shot
65-76
Nikola Jovic personal foul (Jaden McDaniels draws the foul)
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 1
71-84
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Norman Powell offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
65-76
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
65-76
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo turnover
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
+2
Davion Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup
65-76
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul
Davion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
+3
Jaden McDaniels makes three point jump shot
63-76
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
63-73
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
61-73
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
58-73
Norman Powell personal foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point jump shot
65-76
Heat 60 second timeout
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
Timberwolves violation
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
65-76
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Davion Mitchell misses three point jump shot
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point pullup jump shot (Rudy Gobert assists)
58-69
+2
Norman Powell makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)
58-69
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert turnover (discontinue dribble)
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point driving floating jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)
65-76
+2
Norman Powell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Davion Mitchell assists)
65-76
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
End of 1st Half.
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
+2
Mike Conley makes two point jump shot
47-53
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-53
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
Timberwolves personal foul
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
47-53
Andrew Wiggins blocks Julius Randle's two point driving layup
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-53
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-53
+3
Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)
47-53
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
Mike Conley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Mike Conley draws the foul)
+1
Mike Conley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-53
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-53
Timberwolves personal foul
Mike Conley shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
47-53
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Mike Conley misses three point jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Davion Mitchell misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)
47-53
+3
Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
47-53
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-50
Heat personal foul
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-53
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat offensive rebound
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rudy Gobert blocks Norman Powell's two point driving layup
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Davion Mitchell misses two point pullup jump shot
Anthony Edwards personal foul
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Davion Mitchell personal foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-50
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
44-48
+3
Norman Powell makes three point running jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
44-48
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point running layup (Norman Powell assists)
44-48
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels misses two point running pullup jump shot
Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
+1
Jaylen Clark makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-44
+1
Jaylen Clark makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-45
Heat personal foul
Anthony Edwards turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic personal foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-45
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-48
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
39-41
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert)
Heat turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
39-39
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-37
Heat violation
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
37-37
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-35
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
35-35
Heat turnover
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Bones Hyland turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-33
Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins)
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves turnover
Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
34-33
Heat personal foul
Bones Hyland misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
+1
Bones Hyland makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-33
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
32-32
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
29-32
Heat personal foul
Julius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
29-30
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
29-27
Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
29-24
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
29-22
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
29-20
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-19
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-20
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-18
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
24-18
Heat turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
24-16
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
21-16
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
19-16
Heat turnover
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves personal foul
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mike Conley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-13
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-14
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
19-12
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-10
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
17-10
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
17-8
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
15-8
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
13-8
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
13-6
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
10-6
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
8-6
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
6-6
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
6-3
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
3-3
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels kicked ball violation
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point pullup jump shot
0-3
Heat offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
Kel'el Ware vs. Rudy Gobert (Jaden McDaniels gains possession)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Heat vs. Timberwolves: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Timberwolves
- Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Timberwolves favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 238.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +170, Timberwolves -195
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 31%
- Timberwolves: 69%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 116-121 Timberwolves.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 31%, while the Timberwolves have a win probability of 69%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Target Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Timberwolves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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