Heat vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Timberwolves NBA game on January 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Heat
94
122
Target Center
Timberwolves
Target Center
TEAM1234T
Heat
29 29 36 0 94
Timberwolves
27 42 53 0 122
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Heat
    1%
  • Timberwolves
    99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Heat
29 29 36 0 94
Timberwolves
27 42 53 0 122
Q4 00:02 Myron Gardner misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:14 Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)
Q4 00:24 Leonard Miller makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:26 Rob Dillingham misses two point running finger roll layup
Q4 00:38 Leonard Miller makes two point jump shot (Rob Dillingham assists)
Q4 00:44 Kel'el Ware misses three point running pullup jump shot
Q4 00:52 Johnny Juzang misses two point driving hook shot
Q4 1:01 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:02
    Joe Ingles defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:02
    Myron Gardner misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:07
    Rob Dillingham turnover (bad pass) (Myron Gardner steals)
  5. Q4 00:14
    +3
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)
    94-122
  6. Q4 00:24
    +2
    Leonard Miller makes two point jump shot
    91-122
  7. Q4 00:25
    Leonard Miller offensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:26
    Rob Dillingham misses two point running finger roll layup
  9. Q4 00:29
    Keshad Johnson turnover
  10. Q4 00:38
    +2
    Leonard Miller makes two point jump shot (Rob Dillingham assists)
    94-122
  11. Q4 00:41
    Rob Dillingham defensive rebound
  12. Q4 00:44
    Kel'el Ware misses three point running pullup jump shot
  13. Q4 00:50
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  14. Q4 00:52
    Johnny Juzang misses two point driving hook shot
  15. Q4 00:59
    Johnny Juzang defensive rebound
  16. Q4 1:01
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  17. Q4 1:08
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    94-122
  18. Q4 1:11
    Heat turnover
  19. Q4 1:15
    Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
  20. Q4 1:17
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  21. Q4 1:26
    Leonard Miller offensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:28
    Johnny Juzang misses three point jump shot
  23. Q4 1:38
    Heat turnover
  24. Q4 1:41
    Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
  25. Q4 1:42
    Joan Beringer misses two point jump shot
  26. Q4 1:42
    Joan Beringer offensive rebound
  27. Q4 1:46
    Rob Dillingham misses two point jump shot
  28. Q4 1:55
    Keshad Johnson personal foul (Johnny Juzang draws the foul)
  29. Q4 2:03
    +2
    Myron Gardner makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kel'el Ware assists)
    94-122
  30. Q4 2:24
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    94-122
  31. Q4 2:44
    +3
    Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Myron Gardner assists)
    94-122
  32. Q4 2:59
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    86-114
  33. Q4 3:13
    Leonard Miller shooting foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
  34. Q4 3:13
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    85-112
  35. Q4 3:13
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    86-112
  36. Q4 3:17
    Joan Beringer offensive rebound
  37. Q4 3:17
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    94-122
  38. Q4 3:21
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  39. Q4 3:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  40. Q4 3:41
    Joe Ingles personal foul
  41. Q4 3:41
    +1
    Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-112
  42. Q4 3:41
    +1
    Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-122
  43. Q4 3:46
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  44. Q4 3:49
    Joe Ingles misses three point jump shot
  45. Q4 4:10
    Leonard Miller defensive rebound
  46. Q4 4:14
    Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
  47. Q4 4:19
    Timberwolves turnover
  48. Q4 4:20
    Kasparas Jakucionis turnover
  49. Q4 4:22
    Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
  50. Q4 4:25
    Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot
  51. Q4 4:40
    Timberwolves lineup change (Rob Dillingham, Joan Beringer, Johnny Juzang, Joe Ingles, Leonard Miller)
  52. Q4 4:40
    +2
    Rudy Gobert makes two point jump shot
    94-122
  53. Q4 4:40
    Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
  54. Q4 4:40
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Myron Gardner)
  55. Q4 4:40
    Heat 60 second timeout
  56. Q4 4:41
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  57. Q4 5:03
    Pelle Larsson offensive foul (Bones Hyland draws the foul)
  58. Q4 5:03
    Pelle Larsson turnover (offensive foul)
  59. Q4 5:14
    Heat personal foul
  60. Q4 5:14
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-122
  61. Q4 5:14
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-122
  62. Q4 5:30
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jovic assists)
    94-122
  63. Q4 5:39
    +2
    Rudy Gobert makes two point jump shot
    94-122
  64. Q4 5:39
    Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
  65. Q4 5:39
    Kel'el Ware personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
  66. Q4 5:39
    +1
    Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    94-122
  67. Q4 5:42
    Jaden McDaniels misses three point jump shot
  68. Q4 6:05
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  69. Q4 6:07
    Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
  70. Q4 6:19
    Timberwolves personal foul
  71. Q4 6:20
    Timberwolves personal foul
  72. Q4 6:20
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  73. Q4 6:20
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    94-122
  74. Q4 6:20
    Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
  75. Q4 6:24
    Anthony Edwards misses two point jump shot
  76. Q4 6:34
    Bones Hyland defensive rebound
  77. Q4 6:36
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  78. Q4 6:52
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    79-103
  79. Q4 7:04
    Bones Hyland defensive rebound
  80. Q4 7:07
    Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
  81. Q4 7:15
    Rudy Gobert turnover (offensive foul)
  82. Q4 7:15
    Rudy Gobert offensive foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
  83. Q4 7:21
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  84. Q4 7:24
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  85. Q4 7:47
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    79-103
  86. Q4 7:56
    Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
  87. Q4 7:56
    Heat turnover
  88. Q4 8:09
    Timberwolves personal foul
  89. Q4 8:09
    Heat defensive rebound
  90. Q4 8:12
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  91. Q4 8:28
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    71-84
  92. Q4 8:42
    Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
  93. Q4 8:42
    +3
    Bones Hyland makes three point jump shot
    94-122
  94. Q4 8:42
    Heat 60 second timeout
  95. Q4 8:50
    Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
  96. Q4 8:53
    Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot
  97. Q4 8:55
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  98. Q4 8:58
    Norman Powell misses two point pullup jump shot
  99. Q4 9:05
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  100. Q4 9:08
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  101. Q4 9:10
    Bones Hyland defensive rebound
  102. Q4 9:13
    Norman Powell misses two point reverse layup
  103. Q4 9:18
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  104. Q4 9:23
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  105. Q4 9:32
    Bones Hyland offensive rebound
  106. Q4 9:36
    Jaden McDaniels misses three point jump shot
  107. Q4 9:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  108. Q4 9:57
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  109. Q4 9:59
    Nikola Jovic misses three point running jump shot
  110. Q4 10:06
    Rudy Gobert turnover (Nikola Jovic steals)
  111. Q4 10:08
    Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
  112. Q4 10:10
    Naz Reid misses two point turnaround hook shot
  113. Q4 10:25
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  114. Q4 10:28
    Davion Mitchell misses two point pullup jump shot
  115. Q4 10:49
    +2
    Jaden McDaniels makes two point jump shot
    94-122
  116. Q4 10:57
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  117. Q4 11:00
    Kel'el Ware misses two point jump shot
  118. Q4 11:03
    Norman Powell offensive rebound
  119. Q4 11:04
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  120. Q4 11:14
    Heat defensive rebound
  121. Q4 11:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  122. Q4 11:16
    Naz Reid misses two point floating jump shot
  123. Q4 11:16
    Rudy Gobert misses two point tip layup
  124. Q4 11:16
    Heat defensive rebound
  125. Q4 11:25
    Heat personal foul
  126. Q4 11:25
    Nikola Jovic turnover (offensive foul)
  127. Q4 11:35
    Timberwolves personal foul
  128. Q4 11:35
    Heat defensive rebound
  129. Q4 11:38
    Bones Hyland misses three point jump shot
  130. Q3 00:00
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  131. Q4 12:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
  132. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  133. Q4 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware)
  134. Q3 00:01
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  135. Q3 00:04
    Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
  136. Q3 00:27
    +3
    Donte DiVincenzo makes three point pullup jump shot
    71-84
  137. Q3 00:35
    +2
    Tyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
    71-84
  138. Q3 00:47
    +3
    Donte DiVincenzo makes three point stepback jump shot
    71-84
  139. Q3 00:56
    +2
    Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)
    71-84
  140. Q3 1:07
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    71-84
  141. Q3 1:31
    Naz Reid personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)
  142. Q3 1:31
    +1
    Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    79-103
  143. Q3 1:31
    +1
    Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-122
  144. Q3 1:43
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  145. Q3 1:46
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  146. Q3 1:56
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  147. Q3 1:57
    Jaylen Clark personal foul
  148. Q3 1:57
    Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  149. Q3 1:57
    +1
    Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    79-103
  150. Q3 2:04
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    70-84
  151. Q3 2:06
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  152. Q3 2:08
    Julius Randle blocks Pelle Larsson's two point putback layup
  153. Q3 2:09
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  154. Q3 2:10
    Pelle Larsson misses two point putback layup
  155. Q3 2:10
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  156. Q3 2:13
    Tyler Herro misses two point running finger roll layup
  157. Q3 2:18
    Timberwolves turnover
  158. Q3 2:22
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  159. Q3 2:22
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  160. Q3 2:22
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  161. Q3 2:27
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  162. Q3 2:39
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  163. Q3 2:41
    Mike Conley misses three point jump shot
  164. Q3 2:53
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  165. Q3 2:53
    Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
  166. Q3 2:55
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  167. Q3 3:00
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  168. Q3 3:03
    Nikola Jovic blocks Naz Reid's two point driving layup
  169. Q3 3:17
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  170. Q3 3:20
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  171. Q3 3:34
    Timberwolves personal foul
  172. Q3 3:34
    Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  173. Q3 3:34
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Mike Conley)
  174. Q3 3:43
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  175. Q3 3:46
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  176. Q3 3:49
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  177. Q3 3:49
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  178. Q3 3:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  179. Q3 3:49
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Mike Conley)
  180. Q3 3:49
    Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  181. Q3 3:51
    Mike Conley defensive rebound
  182. Q3 3:53
    Andrew Wiggins misses two point jump shot
  183. Q3 3:56
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  184. Q3 3:58
    Nikola Jovic misses three point jump shot
  185. Q3 4:03
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  186. Q3 4:05
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  187. Q3 4:28
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    71-84
  188. Q3 4:42
    Heat personal foul
  189. Q3 4:42
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  190. Q3 4:42
    Jaden McDaniels misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  191. Q3 4:42
    +1
    Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    71-84
  192. Q3 4:42
    Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
  193. Q3 4:44
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  194. Q3 4:46
    Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
  195. Q3 4:50
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  196. Q3 4:53
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  197. Q3 5:07
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  198. Q3 5:09
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  199. Q3 5:17
    Timberwolves personal foul
  200. Q3 5:22
    Timberwolves turnover
  201. Q3 5:34
    Heat turnover
  202. Q3 5:45
    +2
    Jaden McDaniels makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    65-76
  203. Q3 5:45
    Nikola Jovic personal foul (Jaden McDaniels draws the foul)
  204. Q3 5:45
    +1
    Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    71-84
  205. Q3 5:45
    Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
  206. Q3 5:48
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  207. Q3 5:50
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  208. Q3 5:54
    Norman Powell offensive rebound
  209. Q3 5:57
    Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
  210. Q3 6:16
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    65-76
  211. Q3 6:33
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    65-76
  212. Q3 6:47
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  213. Q3 6:49
    Anthony Edwards misses two point jump shot
  214. Q3 7:06
    Bam Adebayo turnover
  215. Q3 7:06
    Heat personal foul
  216. Q3 7:06
    Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
  217. Q3 7:10
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  218. Q3 7:12
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  219. Q3 7:25
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  220. Q3 7:26
    +2
    Davion Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup
    65-76
  221. Q3 7:26
    Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
  222. Q3 7:26
    Donte DiVincenzo personal foul
  223. Q3 7:26
    Davion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  224. Q3 7:26
    Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
  225. Q3 7:40
    +3
    Jaden McDaniels makes three point jump shot
    63-76
  226. Q3 8:04
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    63-73
  227. Q3 8:14
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  228. Q3 8:17
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  229. Q3 8:23
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  230. Q3 8:26
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  231. Q3 8:41
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    61-73
  232. Q3 8:57
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    58-73
  233. Q3 9:08
    Norman Powell personal foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
  234. Q3 9:15
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  235. Q3 9:17
    Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
  236. Q3 9:30
    +2
    Rudy Gobert makes two point jump shot
    65-76
  237. Q3 9:31
    Heat 60 second timeout
  238. Q3 9:34
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  239. Q3 9:37
    Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
  240. Q3 9:44
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  241. Q3 9:48
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  242. Q3 10:00
    Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
  243. Q3 10:06
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  244. Q3 10:09
    Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
  245. Q3 10:16
    Timberwolves violation
  246. Q3 10:25
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    65-76
  247. Q3 10:35
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  248. Q3 10:38
    Davion Mitchell misses three point jump shot
  249. Q3 10:51
    +3
    Anthony Edwards makes three point pullup jump shot (Rudy Gobert assists)
    58-69
  250. Q3 11:04
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)
    58-69
  251. Q3 11:11
    Donte DiVincenzo personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  252. Q3 11:18
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  253. Q3 11:18
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  254. Q3 11:18
    Rudy Gobert turnover (discontinue dribble)
  255. Q3 11:32
    +2
    Jaden McDaniels makes two point driving floating jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)
    65-76
  256. Q3 11:48
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Davion Mitchell assists)
    65-76
  257. Q3 11:59
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  258. Q2 00:00
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  259. Q2 00:00
    Heat offensive rebound
  260. Q3 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
  261. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  262. Q3 12:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
  263. Q2 00:01
    +2
    Mike Conley makes two point jump shot
    47-53
  264. Q2 00:12
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  265. Q2 00:15
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    47-53
  266. Q2 00:15
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
  267. Q2 00:15
    Timberwolves personal foul
  268. Q2 00:15
    Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  269. Q2 00:15
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
  270. Q2 00:32
    Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
  271. Q2 00:32
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    47-53
  272. Q2 00:35
    Andrew Wiggins blocks Julius Randle's two point driving layup
  273. Q2 00:46
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    47-53
  274. Q2 00:46
    Timberwolves personal foul
  275. Q2 00:46
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    47-53
  276. Q2 1:01
    +3
    Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)
    47-53
  277. Q2 1:04
    Julius Randle offensive rebound
  278. Q2 1:06
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
  279. Q2 1:06
    Mike Conley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  280. Q2 1:06
    Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Mike Conley draws the foul)
  281. Q2 1:06
    +1
    Mike Conley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    47-53
  282. Q2 1:07
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
  283. Q2 1:07
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
  284. Q2 1:18
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    47-53
  285. Q2 1:18
    Timberwolves personal foul
  286. Q2 1:18
    Mike Conley shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
  287. Q2 1:18
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    47-53
  288. Q2 1:27
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  289. Q2 1:29
    Mike Conley misses three point jump shot
  290. Q2 1:36
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  291. Q2 1:38
    Norman Powell misses two point jump shot
  292. Q2 1:40
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  293. Q2 1:47
    Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
  294. Q2 1:54
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  295. Q2 1:55
    Davion Mitchell misses two point jump shot
  296. Q2 2:06
    +2
    Jaden McDaniels makes two point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)
    47-53
  297. Q2 2:15
    +3
    Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
    47-53
  298. Q2 2:25
    +1
    Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    44-50
  299. Q2 2:25
    Heat personal foul
  300. Q2 2:25
    +1
    Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    47-53
  301. Q2 2:32
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  302. Q2 2:34
    Heat turnover
  303. Q2 2:34
    Heat offensive rebound
  304. Q2 2:40
    Heat offensive rebound
  305. Q2 2:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  306. Q2 2:41
    Rudy Gobert blocks Norman Powell's two point driving layup
  307. Q2 2:57
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  308. Q2 2:58
    Heat defensive rebound
  309. Q2 2:58
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  310. Q2 2:58
    Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
  311. Q2 3:09
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  312. Q2 3:11
    Davion Mitchell misses two point pullup jump shot
  313. Q2 3:21
    Anthony Edwards personal foul
  314. Q2 3:21
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
  315. Q2 3:21
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
  316. Q2 3:23
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  317. Q2 3:26
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  318. Q2 3:42
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  319. Q2 3:44
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  320. Q2 3:54
    Davion Mitchell personal foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
  321. Q2 3:54
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  322. Q2 3:54
    Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  323. Q2 3:54
    +1
    Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    44-50
  324. Q2 4:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  325. Q2 4:01
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  326. Q2 4:01
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
  327. Q2 4:09
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  328. Q2 4:13
    Norman Powell misses three point jump shot
  329. Q2 4:34
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    44-48
  330. Q2 4:49
    +3
    Norman Powell makes three point running jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
    44-48
  331. Q2 4:51
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  332. Q2 4:53
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  333. Q2 5:02
    +2
    Pelle Larsson makes two point running layup (Norman Powell assists)
    44-48
  334. Q2 5:06
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  335. Q2 5:09
    Jaden McDaniels misses two point running pullup jump shot
  336. Q2 5:13
    Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
  337. Q2 5:17
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  338. Q2 5:25
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  339. Q2 5:26
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  340. Q2 5:43
    Heat turnover
  341. Q2 5:58
    +1
    Jaylen Clark makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    39-44
  342. Q2 5:58
    +1
    Jaylen Clark makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    39-45
  343. Q2 5:58
    Heat personal foul
  344. Q2 6:08
    Anthony Edwards turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)
  345. Q2 6:08
    Heat turnover
  346. Q2 6:08
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  347. Q2 6:08
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
  348. Q2 6:18
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  349. Q2 6:21
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  350. Q2 6:29
    Nikola Jovic personal foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
  351. Q2 6:29
    +1
    Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    39-45
  352. Q2 6:29
    +1
    Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    44-48
  353. Q2 6:40
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  354. Q2 6:43
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  355. Q2 7:07
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    39-41
  356. Q2 7:07
    Heat 60 second timeout
  357. Q2 7:07
    Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo)
  358. Q2 7:07
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert)
  359. Q2 7:08
    Heat turnover
  360. Q2 7:26
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    39-39
  361. Q2 7:38
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    39-37
  362. Q2 7:48
    Heat violation
  363. Q2 7:48
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    37-37
  364. Q2 8:06
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    37-35
  365. Q2 8:19
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    35-35
  366. Q2 8:28
    Heat turnover
  367. Q2 8:39
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  368. Q2 8:39
    Timberwolves personal foul
  369. Q2 8:39
    Bones Hyland turnover (offensive foul)
  370. Q2 8:39
    Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert)
  371. Q2 8:43
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  372. Q2 8:48
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  373. Q2 8:51
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  374. Q2 9:04
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  375. Q2 9:07
    Timberwolves personal foul
  376. Q2 9:07
    +1
    Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    35-33
  377. Q2 9:07
    Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  378. Q2 9:07
    Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins)
  379. Q2 9:13
    Timberwolves personal foul
  380. Q2 9:25
    Timberwolves turnover
  381. Q2 9:35
    Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
  382. Q2 9:38
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  383. Q2 9:50
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    34-33
  384. Q2 10:03
    Heat personal foul
  385. Q2 10:03
    Bones Hyland misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  386. Q2 10:03
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  387. Q2 10:03
    +1
    Bones Hyland makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    32-33
  388. Q2 10:26
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    32-32
  389. Q2 10:41
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  390. Q2 10:44
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    29-32
  391. Q2 10:44
    Heat personal foul
  392. Q2 10:44
    Julius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  393. Q2 10:50
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  394. Q2 10:51
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  395. Q2 11:02
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    29-30
  396. Q2 11:07
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  397. Q2 11:09
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  398. Q2 11:28
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  399. Q2 11:30
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  400. Q2 11:41
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  401. Q2 11:44
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  402. Q1 00:00
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  403. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  404. Q2 12:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid)
  405. Q1 00:02
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    29-27
  406. Q1 00:11
    Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
  407. Q1 00:13
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  408. Q1 00:18
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  409. Q1 00:18
    Heat offensive rebound
  410. Q1 00:18
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  411. Q1 00:33
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    29-24
  412. Q1 00:43
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  413. Q1 00:45
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  414. Q1 00:56
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  415. Q1 00:58
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  416. Q1 1:07
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  417. Q1 1:10
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  418. Q1 1:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  419. Q1 1:32
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    29-22
  420. Q1 1:44
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    29-20
  421. Q1 2:03
    Heat personal foul
  422. Q1 2:03
    +1
    Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    26-19
  423. Q1 2:03
    +1
    Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    26-20
  424. Q1 2:10
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    26-18
  425. Q1 2:28
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    24-18
  426. Q1 2:39
    Heat turnover
  427. Q1 2:39
    Heat 60 second timeout
  428. Q1 2:39
    Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins)
  429. Q1 2:39
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
  430. Q1 2:41
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  431. Q1 2:43
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  432. Q1 2:57
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    24-16
  433. Q1 3:01
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  434. Q1 3:04
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  435. Q1 3:15
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    21-16
  436. Q1 3:28
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  437. Q1 3:31
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  438. Q1 3:43
    Heat turnover
  439. Q1 3:57
    Timberwolves personal foul
  440. Q1 3:57
    Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  441. Q1 3:57
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
  442. Q1 4:10
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    19-16
  443. Q1 4:16
    Heat turnover
  444. Q1 4:22
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  445. Q1 4:26
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  446. Q1 4:35
    Heat turnover
  447. Q1 4:40
    Timberwolves personal foul
  448. Q1 4:45
    Timberwolves personal foul
  449. Q1 4:49
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  450. Q1 4:51
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  451. Q1 5:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  452. Q1 5:13
    Mike Conley defensive rebound
  453. Q1 5:16
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  454. Q1 5:33
    Heat personal foul
  455. Q1 5:33
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  456. Q1 5:33
    Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
  457. Q1 5:33
    Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Mike Conley)
  458. Q1 5:33
    +1
    Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    19-13
  459. Q1 5:33
    +1
    Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    19-14
  460. Q1 5:44
    Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
  461. Q1 5:48
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  462. Q1 5:57
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  463. Q1 6:00
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  464. Q1 6:10
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  465. Q1 6:13
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  466. Q1 6:26
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    19-12
  467. Q1 6:49
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    19-10
  468. Q1 7:04
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    17-10
  469. Q1 7:19
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    17-8
  470. Q1 7:27
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  471. Q1 7:29
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  472. Q1 7:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  473. Q1 7:39
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  474. Q1 7:41
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  475. Q1 7:53
    Timberwolves turnover
  476. Q1 8:01
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  477. Q1 8:04
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  478. Q1 8:07
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  479. Q1 8:12
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  480. Q1 8:17
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  481. Q1 8:22
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  482. Q1 8:38
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  483. Q1 8:38
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  484. Q1 8:38
    Timberwolves defensive rebound
  485. Q1 8:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  486. Q1 8:41
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  487. Q1 8:45
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  488. Q1 8:47
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  489. Q1 9:03
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    15-8
  490. Q1 9:20
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    13-8
  491. Q1 9:36
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    13-6
  492. Q1 9:45
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  493. Q1 9:46
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  494. Q1 10:01
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    10-6
  495. Q1 10:04
    Timberwolves turnover
  496. Q1 10:06
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    8-6
  497. Q1 10:20
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    6-6
  498. Q1 10:35
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  499. Q1 10:35
    Heat personal foul
  500. Q1 10:37
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  501. Q1 10:49
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  502. Q1 10:52
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  503. Q1 10:59
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    6-3
  504. Q1 11:04
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  505. Q1 11:07
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  506. Q1 11:22
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    3-3
  507. Q1 11:24
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  508. Q1 11:26
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  509. Q1 11:32
    Jaden McDaniels kicked ball violation
  510. Q1 11:47
    +3
    Anthony Edwards makes three point pullup jump shot
    0-3
  511. Q1 11:58
    Heat offensive rebound
  512. Q1 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
  513. Q1 12:00
    Kel'el Ware vs. Rudy Gobert (Jaden McDaniels gains possession)
  514. Q1 12:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels)
  515. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Heat
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Timberwolves
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Heat vs. Timberwolves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Heat vs. Timberwolves
  • Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Target Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Timberwolves favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Heat +170, Timberwolves -195

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Heat: 31%
  • Timberwolves: 69%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 116-121 Timberwolves.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 31%, while the Timberwolves have a win probability of 69%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Target Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Heat vs. Timberwolves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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