NBA Playoffs player props today: Thursday's best props include Nikola Jokic [4/30/2026]
Get NBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.

Dimers' NBA props are live for April 30, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Nikola Jokic, Jaylen Brown and OG Anunoby.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including Knicks vs. Hawks and Nuggets vs. Timberwolves, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Thursday's playoffs, 4/30
Sourced from 45+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for April 30, ranked by probability.
Nikola Jokic over 11.5 assists (+150)
- Edge: 20.5%
- Probability: 60.5%
- Projection: 13.4
- Game: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)
Our model has found value on Denver's Nikola Jokic over 11.5 assists. A probability of 60.5% gives this play an edge of 20.5% at +150 odds.
Jaylen Brown over 4.5 assists (+126)
- Edge: 13.5%
- Probability: 57.7%
- Projection: 5.9
- Game: Celtics vs. 76ers (8:00PM ET)
Jaylen Brown’s assists prop shows a 13.5% edge at +126 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.9 assists on the over 4.5 line.
OG Anunoby over 16.5 points scored (+100)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 56.0%
- Projection: 19.3
- Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on OG Anunoby over 16.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 56.0% probability and a 6.0% edge at +100.
Ayo Dosunmu over 4.5 assists (+114)
- Edge: 7.6%
- Probability: 54.3%
- Projection: 5.3
- Game: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)
Our model projects Ayo Dosunmu to put up 5.3 assists today, creating an edge of 7.6% on the over 4.5 line at +114 odds.
Jalen Johnson over 9.5 rebounds (+109)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 54.1%
- Projection: 10.2
- Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Jalen Johnson over 9.5 rebounds for Atlanta, showing an edge of 6.3% at +109 odds.
Karl-Anthony Towns over 12.5 rebounds (+108)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 53.8%
- Projection: 13.2
- Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)
Karl-Anthony Towns’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 5.7% at +108 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 13.2 today.
Jayson Tatum over 26.5 points scored (+125)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 53.5%
- Projection: 28.2
- Game: Celtics vs. 76ers (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Jayson Tatum for 28.2 points scored for Boston, creating an edge of 9.1% on over 26.5 at +125 odds.
Jaylen Brown over 28.5 points scored (+135)
- Edge: 10.9%
- Probability: 53.4%
- Projection: 30.1
- Game: Celtics vs. 76ers (8:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Jaylen Brown for 30.1 points scored, creating value on the over 28.5 line at +135 odds and a 10.9% edge.
Derrick White over 4.5 assists (+135)
- Edge: 10.6%
- Probability: 53.1%
- Projection: 5.0
- Game: Celtics vs. 76ers (8:00PM ET)
A 10.6% edge on the over 28.5 assists line makes Derrick White a value play in Celtics vs. 76ers, with our model projecting him for 5.0 assists at +135 odds.
Ayo Dosunmu over 4.5 rebounds (+114)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 52.5%
- Projection: 5.0
- Game: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)
Simulations project Ayo Dosunmu for 5.0 rebounds here, creating a 5.7% edge on the over 4.5 line at +114 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Thursday, April 30, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:58PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Nikola Jokic over 11.5 assists | +150 @ fanatics | 20.5% | 60.5% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Jaylen Brown over 4.5 assists | +126 @ DraftKings | 13.5% | 57.7% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | OG Anunoby over 16.5 points scored | +100 @ FanDuel | 7.6% | 54.3% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Ayo Dosunmu over 4.5 assists | +114 @ FanDuel | 7.6% | 54.3% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Jalen Johnson over 9.5 rebounds | +109 @ DraftKings | 6.3% | 54.1% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Karl-Anthony Towns over 12.5 rebounds | +108 @ FanDuel | 5.7% | 53.8% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Jayson Tatum over 26.5 points scored | +125 @ fanatics | 9.1% | 53.5% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Jaylen Brown over 28.5 points scored | +135 @ fanatics | 10.9% | 53.4% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Derrick White over 28.5 assists | +135 @ fanatics | 10.6% | 53.1% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Ayo Dosunmu over 4.5 rebounds | +114 @ FanDuel | 5.7% | 52.5% |
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Conclusion
For April 30, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Nikola Jokic, Jaylen Brown and OG Anunoby. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.



