NBA Playoffs player props today: Sunday's best props include Ajay Mitchell [5/9/2026]

Dimers' NBA props are live for May 10, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Ajay Mitchell, Daniss Jenkins and Austin Reaves.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including Pistons vs. Cavaliers and Thunder vs. Lakers, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop bets for Sunday's playoffs, 5/9

Below are the top ten NBA player props for May 9, ranked by probability.

Ajay Mitchell under 14.5 points scored (+135)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 48.6%
• Projection: 15.1
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Oklahoma City's Ajay Mitchell under 14.5 points scored. A probability of 48.6% gives this play an edge of 6.0% at +135 odds.

Daniss Jenkins over 4.5 assists (+225)

• Edge: 17.1%
• Probability: 47.9%
• Projection: 4.1
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (3:00PM ET)

Daniss Jenkins’s assists prop shows a 17.1% edge at +225 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.1 assists on the over 4.5 line.

Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds (+175)

• Edge: 10.3%
• Probability: 46.7%
• Projection: 4.9
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 46.7% probability and a 10.3% edge at +175.

LeBron James over 1.5 steals (+181)

• Edge: 10.6%
• Probability: 46.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Our model projects LeBron James to put up 1.2 steals today, creating an edge of 10.6% on the over 1.5 line at +181 odds.

Chet Holmgren over 1.5 steals (+180)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 44.7%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Chet Holmgren over 1.5 steals for Oklahoma City, showing an edge of 9.0% at +180 odds.

LeBron James over 9.5 assists (+225)

• Edge: 11.4%
• Probability: 42.2%
• Projection: 8.1
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

LeBron James’s assists prop shows an edge of 11.4% at +225 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 8.1 today.

Austin Reaves over 7.5 assists (+190)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 39.8%
• Projection: 5.7
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Our model projects Austin Reaves for 5.7 assists for LA Lakers, creating an edge of 5.3% on over 7.5 at +190 odds.

LeBron James to score first basket (+700)

• Edge: 1.2%
• Probability: 13.7%
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

The data shows value on LeBron James to score first basket, supported by a 13.7% probability at +700 odds and an edge of 1.2%.

Tobias Harris to score first basket (+900)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 13.4%
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (3:00PM ET)

A 3.4% edge on the to score first basket line makes Tobias Harris a value play in Pistons vs. Cavaliers, supported by a 13.4% probability at +900 odds.

Cade Cunningham to score first basket (+700)

• Edge: 0.8%
• Probability: 13.3%
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (3:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Cade Cunningham to score first basket here, with a 13.3% probability and 0.8% edge at +700 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Saturday, May 9, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Thunder vs. Lakers	Ajay Mitchell under 14.5 points scored	+135 @ Fanatics	6.0%	48.6%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Daniss Jenkins over 4.5 assists	+225 @ Fanatics	17.1%	47.9%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds	+175 @ Fanatics	10.6%	46.2%
Thunder vs. Lakers	LeBron James over 1.5 steals	+181 @ DraftKings	10.6%	46.2%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Chet Holmgren over 1.5 steals	+180 @ DraftKings	9.0%	44.7%
Thunder vs. Lakers	LeBron James over 9.5 assists	+225 @ Fanatics	11.4%	42.2%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Austin Reaves over 7.5 assists	+190 @ Fanatics	5.3%	39.8%
Thunder vs. Lakers	LeBron James to score first basket	+700 @ FanDuel	1.2%	13.7%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Tobias Harris to score first basket	+900 @ FanDuel	3.4%	13.4%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cade Cunningham to score first basket	+700 @ FanDuel	0.8%	13.3%

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Conclusion

For May 9, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Ajay Mitchell, Daniss Jenkins and Austin Reaves. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.