NBA player props today: Sunday's best props include Aaron Nesmith [3/29/2026]

Aaron Nesmith over 2.5 3-pointers made (+148)

• Edge: 13.2%
• Probability: 53.6%
• Projection: 2.8
• Game: Heat vs. Pacers (5:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Indiana's Aaron Nesmith over 2.5 3-pointers made. A probability of 53.6% gives this play an edge of 13.2% at +148 odds.

Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 12.2%
• Probability: 48.1%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Celtics vs. Hornets (6:00PM ET)

Neemias Queta’s blocks prop shows a 12.2% edge at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 blocks on the over 1.5 line.

Mitchell Robinson over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 11.7%
• Probability: 47.6%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Knicks vs. Thunder (7:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Mitchell Robinson over 1.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 47.6% probability and an 11.7% edge at +178.

Jayson Tatum over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 10.4%
• Probability: 44.4%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Celtics vs. Hornets (6:00PM ET)

Our model projects Jayson Tatum to record 1.1 steals today, creating an edge of 10.4% on the over 1.5 line at +194 odds.

Nikola Jokic over 11.5 assists (+110)

• Edge: 10.4%
• Probability: 58.0%
• Projection: 12.9
• Game: Warriors vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Nikola Jokic over 11.5 assists for Denver, showing an edge of 10.4% at +110 odds.

Toumani Camara over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 45.7%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Wizards vs. Trail Blazers (6:00PM ET)

Toumani Camara’s steals prop shows an edge of 9.7% at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 today.

Devin Carter over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 46.1%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Kings vs. Nets (6:00PM ET)

Our model projects Devin Carter for 1.2 steals for Sacramento, creating an edge of 8.0% on over 1.5 at +162 odds.

Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks (+138)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 49.7%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Magic vs. Raptors (6:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Scottie Barnes for 1.5 blocks, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +138 odds and a 7.6% edge.

Deni Avdija over 7.5 assists (+116)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Projection: 8.2
• Game: Wizards vs. Trail Blazers (6:00PM ET)

A 7.4% edge on the over 1.5 assists line makes Deni Avdija a value play in Wizards vs. Trail Blazers, with our model projecting him for 8.2 assists at +116 odds.

Ryan Rollins over 4.5 rebounds (+128)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Projection: 4.7
• Game: Clippers vs. Bucks (3:30PM ET)

Simulations project Ryan Rollins for 4.7 rebounds here, creating a 7.2% edge on the over 4.5 line at +128 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Sunday, March 29, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 4:03AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Heat vs. Pacers	Aaron Nesmith over 2.5 3-pointers made	+148 @ FanDuel	13.2%	53.6%
Celtics vs. Hornets	Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	12.2%	48.1%
Knicks vs. Thunder	Mitchell Robinson over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	10.4%	44.4%
Celtics vs. Hornets	Jayson Tatum over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	10.4%	44.4%
Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nikola Jokic over 11.5 assists	+110 @ FanDuel	10.4%	58.0%
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers	Toumani Camara over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.7%	45.7%
Kings vs. Nets	Devin Carter over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	8.0%	46.1%
Magic vs. Raptors	Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks	+138 @ FanDuel	7.6%	49.7%
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers	Deni Avdija over 1.5 assists	+116 @ FanDuel	7.4%	53.7%
Clippers vs. Bucks	Ryan Rollins over 4.5 rebounds	+128 @ FanDuel	7.2%	51.1%

Conclusion

For March 29, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Aaron Nesmith, Neemias Queta and Mitchell Robinson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.