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Rockets vs. Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Pelicans NBA game on March 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
134
102
Mar 29, 11PM Smoothie King Center
Mar 29, 11PM Smoothie King Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 29 | 39 | 36 | 30 | 134 |
Pelicans | 29 | 18 | 38 | 17 | 102 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 29 | 39 | 36 | 30 | 134 |
Pelicans | 29 | 18 | 38 | 17 | 102 |
Q4 00:13 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:22 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:45 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Jeff Green makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:55 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:23 Jordan Hawkins makes two point fadeaway jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
134-102
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Micah Peavy defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jeremiah Fears turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
132-102
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela personal foul (Loose ball) (Derik Queen draws the foul)
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-102
Derik Queen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
130-102
+2
Jeff Green makes two point jump shot
130-99
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Jordan Hawkins makes two point fadeaway jump shot
128-99
Isaiah Crawford turnover
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela personal foul (Loose ball) (Derik Queen draws the foul)
Aaron Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot
Pelicans defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
128-99
Pelicans violation
Clint Capela offensive rebound
+2
Clint Capela makes two point jump shot
128-99
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Isaiah Crawford, Clint Capela, Jeff Green, Josh Okogie)
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Jordan Hawkins, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic)
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Tari Eason misses three point jump shot
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Aaron Holiday makes three point jump shot
126-95
Pelicans offensive rebound
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-93
Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets personal foul
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes technical free throw 1 of 1
123-94
Rockets personal foul
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
123-94
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Yves Missi misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Jae'Sean Tate personal foul (Jeremiah Fears draws the foul)
Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Clint Capela, Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate, Josh Okogie)
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears)
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate, Josh Okogie)
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
123-94
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-94
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
123-94
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
123-94
Aaron Holiday offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
123-94
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
123-94
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Saddiq Bey misses two point driving layup
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
112-88
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Jae'Sean Tate)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Derik Queen misses two point jump shot
+3
Aaron Holiday makes three point jump shot
112-88
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-88
Derik Queen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
109-87
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Yves Missi misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears)
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Alperen Sengun makes two point jump shot
109-85
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Derik Queen misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
109-85
Kevon Looney misses two point tip layup
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
Kevon Looney misses two point tip layup
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets personal foul
Instant replay (Challenge)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Jeremiah Fears makes two point jump shot
104-85
+3
Alperen Sengun makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)
104-83
Jeremiah Fears personal foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
101-83
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Saddiq Bey misses two point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Kevon Looney, Micah Peavy, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears)
Pelicans offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Jae'Sean Tate)
Herbert Jones shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-80
Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Jae'Sean Tate)
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Dejounte Murray, Kevon Looney, Micah Peavy, Saddiq Bey)
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-83
Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Alperen Sengun blocks Derik Queen's two point driving layup
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Derik Queen personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes technical free throw 1 of 1
99-80
Derik Queen offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
104-85
Pelicans delay of game violation
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Dejounte Murray, Kevon Looney, Herbert Jones, Micah Peavy)
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Dejounte Murray, Kevon Looney, Herbert Jones, Micah Peavy)
Pelicans violation
Derik Queen misses two point jump shot
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
104-85
Herbert Jones turnover
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets defensive rebound
Derik Queen misses two point driving floating jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-85
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-85
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Clint Capela personal foul (Yves Missi draws the foul)
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Yves Missi makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-78
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Herbert Jones misses three point running jump shot
Kevin Durant turnover
+2
Derik Queen makes two point jump shot (Yves Missi assists)
94-77
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy)
Dejounte Murray misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
104-85
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Zion Williamson misses two point jump shot
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point turnaround jump shot
73-52
Pelicans personal foul
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
104-85
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Aaron Holiday, Clint Capela, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
Clint Capela personal foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-52
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-85
Pelicans lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Zion Williamson)
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point driving layup
73-52
+2
Herbert Jones makes two point driving layup
73-52
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses two point jump shot
+2
Yves Missi makes two point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)
73-52
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
104-85
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-52
Rockets personal foul
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Instant replay
Rockets turnover
Rockets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Instant replay (Challenge)
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-52
Yves Missi personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
Yves Missi turnover
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-78
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point jump shot
73-52
+2
Saddiq Bey makes two point driving layup (Dejounte Murray assists)
73-52
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
Saddiq Bey personal foul
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-52
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Zion Williamson personal foul
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-52
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-78
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
96-78
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point running finger roll layup
73-52
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
96-78
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets 60 second timeout
+3
Saddiq Bey makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)
73-52
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
73-52
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
73-52
Rockets turnover
Rockets personal foul
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-52
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-52
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
73-52
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-52
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-52
Pelicans turnover
+3
Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot
73-52
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Herbert Jones personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point jump shot
73-52
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr.)
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)
68-47
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point jump shot
66-47
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
66-45
Rockets personal foul
Rockets personal foul
+1
Dejounte Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
64-44
+1
Dejounte Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
64-45
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
64-44
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
64-44
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Pelicans offensive rebound
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Yves Missi makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-44
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
64-44
Pelicans turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
59-40
Alperen Sengun personal foul
+1
Yves Missi makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-44
+1
Yves Missi makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-44
Tari Eason personal foul
Zion Williamson personal foul
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-38
Rockets offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
64-44
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Dejounte Murray personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
Rockets personal foul
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-44
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard)
Pelicans lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Zion Williamson)
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-44
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
64-44
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses three point jump shot
Clint Capela turnover (traveling)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Tari Eason offensive rebound
+2
Tari Eason makes two point jump shot
64-44
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
52-34
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
64-44
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Tari Eason misses three point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
52-34
Pelicans lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic)
Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Clint Capela, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Dejounte Murray turnover
Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
2-5
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Karlo Matkovic, Zion Williamson)
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets turnover
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Karlo Matkovic, Zion Williamson)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
Derik Queen misses two point tip layup
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Zion Williamson personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-5
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
2-5
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+3
Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot
2-5
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Alperen Sengun makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
2-5
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
2-5
Aaron Holiday personal foul
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 1
2-5
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Jae'Sean Tate misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears turnover (bad pass) (Alperen Sengun steals)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Karlo Matkovic misses two point jump shot
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Derik Queen turnover (lost ball) (Jae'Sean Tate steals)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
2-5
Derik Queen misses three point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
+3
Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot
2-5
Derik Queen personal foul
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Alperen Sengun makes two point jump shot
31-29
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
2-5
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Rockets vs. Pelicans: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rockets vs. Pelicans
- Date: Sunday, March 29, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 239.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rockets -217, Pelicans +217
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rockets: 68%
- Pelicans: 32%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 116-111 Pelicans.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 68%, while the Pelicans have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Smoothie King Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rockets vs. Pelicans predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
