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NBA player props today: Sunday's best props include Scottie Barnes [1/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get NBA player props today with projections for Sunday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for January 18, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Scottie Barnes, Russell Westbrook and Moussa Diabate.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Hornets vs. Nuggets and Pelicans vs. Rockets, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Sunday, 1/18
Sourced from 20+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for January 18, ranked by edge.
Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks (+174)
- Edge: 10.9%
- Probability: 47.4%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Raptors vs. Lakers (9:30PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Toronto's Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 47.4% gives this play an edge of 10.9% at +174 odds.
Russell Westbrook over 1.5 steals (+148)
- Edge: 10.4%
- Probability: 50.7%
- Projection: 1.5
- Game: Trail Blazers vs. Kings (9:00PM ET)
Russell Westbrook’s steals prop shows a 10.4% edge at +148 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.5 steals on the over 1.5 line.
Moussa Diabate over 1.5 blocks (+170)
- Edge: 9.5%
- Probability: 46.5%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Hornets vs. Nuggets (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Moussa Diabate over 1.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 46.5% probability and a 9.5% edge at +170.
Derik Queen over 4.5 assists (+134)
- Edge: 9.4%
- Probability: 52.2%
- Projection: 4.9
- Game: Pelicans vs. Rockets (7:00PM ET)
Our model projects Derik Queen to record 4.9 assists today, creating an edge of 9.4% on the over 4.5 line at +134 odds.
DeMar DeRozan over 1.5 steals (+126)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 52.7%
- Projection: 1.7
- Game: Trail Blazers vs. Kings (9:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on DeMar DeRozan over 1.5 steals for Sacramento, showing an edge of 8.4% at +126 odds.
Jrue Holiday over 1.5 steals (+179)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 43.7%
- Projection: 1.0
- Game: Trail Blazers vs. Kings (9:00PM ET)
Jrue Holiday’s steals prop shows an edge of 7.9% at +179 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.0 today.
Paolo Banchero over 22.5 points scored (+100)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 57.0%
- Projection: 25.9
- Game: Magic vs. Grizzlies (12:00PM ET)
Our model projects Paolo Banchero for 25.9 points scored for Orlando, creating an edge of 7.0% on over 22.5 at +100 odds.
Shaedon Sharpe over 1.5 steals (+138)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 48.9%
- Projection: 1.4
- Game: Trail Blazers vs. Kings (9:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Shaedon Sharpe for 1.4 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +138 odds and a 6.8% edge.
Peyton Watson over 1.5 steals (+148)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 46.9%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Hornets vs. Nuggets (8:00PM ET)
A 6.6% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Peyton Watson a value play in Hornets vs. Nuggets, with our model projecting him for 1.3 steals at +148 odds.
LaMelo Ball over 1.5 steals (+178)
- Edge: 6.1%
- Probability: 42.1%
- Projection: 0.9
- Game: Hornets vs. Nuggets (8:00PM ET)
Simulations project LaMelo Ball for 0.9 steals here, creating a 6.1% edge on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Sunday, January 18, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 11:36AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors vs. Lakers | Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks | +174 @ FanDuel | 10.9% | 47.4% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings | Russell Westbrook over 1.5 steals | +148 @ FanDuel | 10.4% | 50.7% |
| Hornets vs. Nuggets | Moussa Diabate over 1.5 blocks | +170 @ BetMGM | 9.4% | 52.2% |
| Pelicans vs. Rockets | Derik Queen over 4.5 assists | +134 @ FanDuel | 9.4% | 52.2% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings | DeMar DeRozan over 1.5 steals | +126 @ FanDuel | 8.4% | 52.7% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings | Jrue Holiday over 1.5 steals | +179 @ DraftKings | 7.9% | 43.7% |
| Magic vs. Grizzlies | Paolo Banchero over 22.5 points scored | +100 @ FanDuel | 7.0% | 57.0% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings | Shaedon Sharpe over 1.5 steals | +138 @ FanDuel | 6.8% | 48.9% |
| Hornets vs. Nuggets | Peyton Watson over 1.5 steals | +148 @ FanDuel | 6.6% | 46.9% |
| Hornets vs. Nuggets | LaMelo Ball over 1.5 steals | +178 @ FanDuel | 6.1% | 42.1% |
Conclusion
For January 18, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Scottie Barnes, Russell Westbrook and Moussa Diabate. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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