NBA Playoffs player props today: Monday's best props include Jalen Duren [5/11/2026]

Jalen Duren over 13.5 points scored (-114)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Projection: 17.7
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Detroit's Jalen Duren over 13.5 points scored. A probability of 58.6% gives this play an edge of 5.3% at -114 odds.

Cade Cunningham over 9.5 assists (+105)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Projection: 10.4
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (8:00PM ET)

Cade Cunningham’s assists prop shows a 6.0% edge at +105 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 10.4 assists on the over 9.5 line.

Isaiah Hartenstein over 3.5 assists (+150)

• Edge: 13.3%
• Probability: 53.3%
• Projection: 4.1
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Isaiah Hartenstein over 3.5 assists, with simulations showing a 53.3% probability and a 13.3% edge at +150.

Max Strus over 4.5 rebounds (+130)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 49.0%
• Projection: 4.3
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Max Strus to record 4.3 rebounds today, creating an edge of 5.5% on the over 4.5 line at +130 odds.

Jarrett Allen over 1.5 blocks (+142)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 49.0%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jarrett Allen over 1.5 blocks for Cleveland, showing an edge of 7.6% at +142 odds.

Ausar Thompson over 1.5 blocks (+153)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (8:00PM ET)

Ausar Thompson’s blocks prop shows an edge of 8.8% at +153 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 today.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 1.5 steals (+142)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 47.5%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

Our model projects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for 1.3 steals for Oklahoma City, creating an edge of 6.2% on over 1.5 at +142 odds.

Tobias Harris over 1.5 steals (+159)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 47.2%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (8:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Tobias Harris for 1.3 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +159 odds and a 8.6% edge.

Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds (+190)

• Edge: 12.2%
• Probability: 46.6%
• Projection: 4.9
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

A 12.2% edge on the over 1.5 rebounds line makes Austin Reaves a value play in Thunder vs. Lakers, with our model projecting him for 4.9 rebounds at +190 odds.

Donovan Mitchell over 1.5 steals (+145)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 46.4%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (8:00PM ET)

Simulations project Donovan Mitchell for 1.2 steals here, creating a 5.5% edge on the over 1.5 line at +145 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, May 11, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:16AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Jalen Duren over 13.5 points scored	-114 @ FanDuel	5.3%	58.6%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cade Cunningham over 9.5 assists	+105 @ DraftKings	6.0%	54.8%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Isaiah Hartenstein over 3.5 assists	+150 @ Fanatics	5.5%	49.0%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Max Strus over 4.5 rebounds	+130 @ Fanatics	5.5%	49.0%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen over 1.5 blocks	+142 @ DraftKings	7.6%	49.0%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Ausar Thompson over 1.5 blocks	+153 @ DraftKings	8.8%	48.3%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 1.5 steals	+142 @ DraftKings	6.2%	47.5%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Tobias Harris over 1.5 steals	+159 @ DraftKings	8.6%	47.2%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds	+190 @ Fanatics	12.2%	46.6%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell over 1.5 steals	+145 @ DraftKings	5.5%	46.4%

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Conclusion

For May 11, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham and Isaiah Hartenstein. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.