NBA Playoffs player props today: Monday's best props include Isaiah Hartenstein [5/11/2026]

Dimers' NBA props are live for May 11, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Isaiah Hartenstein, LeBron James and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including Pistons vs. Cavaliers and Thunder vs. Lakers, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop bets for Monday's playoffs, 5/11

Sourced from 30+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for May 11, ranked by probability.

Isaiah Hartenstein over 8.5 points scored (+108)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Projection: 10.1
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Oklahoma City's Isaiah Hartenstein over 8.5 points scored. A probability of 53.4% gives this play an edge of 5.4% at +108 odds.

Isaiah Hartenstein over 3.5 assists (+170)

• Edge: 15.8%
• Probability: 52.9%
• Projection: 4.0
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

Isaiah Hartenstein’s assists prop shows a 15.8% edge at +170 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.0 assists on the over 3.5 line.

LeBron James over 8.5 assists (+160)

• Edge: 9.3%
• Probability: 47.8%
• Projection: 8.1
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on LeBron James over 8.5 assists, with simulations showing a 47.8% probability and a 9.3% edge at +160.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 1.5 steals (+144)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 47.6%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

Our model projects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to record 1.3 steals today, creating an edge of 6.6% on the over 1.5 line at +144 odds.

Ajay Mitchell over 1.5 steals (+180)

• Edge: 10.5%
• Probability: 46.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Ajay Mitchell over 1.5 steals for Oklahoma City, showing an edge of 10.5% at +180 odds.

Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds (+190)

• Edge: 11.0%
• Probability: 45.4%
• Projection: 4.7
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

Austin Reaves’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 11.0% at +190 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.7 today.

LeBron James over 7.5 rebounds (+170)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 45.0%
• Projection: 6.6
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

Our model projects LeBron James for 6.6 rebounds for LA Lakers, creating an edge of 8.0% on over 7.5 at +170 odds.

Ajay Mitchell over 5.5 assists (+190)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 43.9%
• Projection: 4.4
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Ajay Mitchell for 4.4 assists, creating value on the over 5.5 line at +190 odds and a 9.4% edge.

Austin Reaves under 4.5 assists (+190)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 42.7%
• Projection: 5.8
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

An 8.2% edge on the under 5.5 assists line makes Austin Reaves a value play in Thunder vs. Lakers, with our model projecting him for 5.8 assists at +190 odds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 8.5 assists (+190)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 41.8%
• Projection: 7.1
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

Simulations project Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for 7.1 assists here, creating a 7.3% edge on the over 8.5 line at +190 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, May 11, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 9:46PM ET:

NBA postseason promo code for Novig

To make the most of Monday's prop picks—headlined by action on Isaiah Hartenstein—check out the below offer from Novig.

Conclusion

For May 11, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Isaiah Hartenstein, LeBron James and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.