Thunder vs. Lakers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Lakers NBA game on May 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Thunder
115
110
Crypto.com Arena
Lakers
Crypto.com Arena
TEAM1234T
Thunder
21 28 31 35 115
Lakers
26 19 39 26 110
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Thunder
    >99%
  • Lakers
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Thunder
21 28 31 35 115
Lakers
26 19 39 26 110
Q4 00:00 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:02 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:08 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:20 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:41 Lakers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Austin Reaves offensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:00
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  3. Q4 00:00
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  5. Q4 00:02
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  7. Q4 00:04
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  8. Q4 00:06
    Lakers personal foul
  9. Q4 00:06
    +1
    Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    114-110
  10. Q4 00:06
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  11. Q4 00:06
    Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  12. Q4 00:06
    +1
    Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-110
  13. Q4 00:07
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  14. Q4 00:07
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  15. Q4 00:07
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso)
  16. Q4 00:07
    Lakers lineup change (Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura)
  17. Q4 00:08
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  18. Q4 00:12
    Lakers personal foul
  19. Q4 00:12
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    112-110
  20. Q4 00:12
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    113-110
  21. Q4 00:12
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  22. Q4 00:12
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  23. Q4 00:12
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  24. Q4 00:12
    Lakers lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James)
  25. Q4 00:17
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  26. Q4 00:20
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  27. Q4 00:32
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    111-110
  28. Q4 00:32
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  29. Q4 00:32
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  30. Q4 00:40
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    109-109
  31. Q4 00:40
    Thunder personal foul
  32. Q4 00:40
    +1
    Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    109-110
  33. Q4 00:40
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  34. Q4 00:40
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  35. Q4 1:00
    Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
  36. Q4 1:04
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  37. Q4 1:20
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  38. Q4 1:21
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  39. Q4 1:29
    Thunder turnover
  40. Q4 1:41
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    109-106
  41. Q4 1:41
    Thunder personal foul
  42. Q4 1:41
    +1
    Rui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    109-107
  43. Q4 1:43
    Rui Hachimura offensive rebound
  44. Q4 1:46
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  45. Q4 2:03
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    109-103
  46. Q4 2:19
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  47. Q4 2:21
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  48. Q4 2:41
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    107-103
  49. Q4 2:50
    Lakers turnover
  50. Q4 2:51
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  51. Q4 2:53
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  52. Q4 3:10
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    105-103
  53. Q4 3:25
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    105-100
  54. Q4 3:42
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    102-100
  55. Q4 3:48
    Thunder personal foul
  56. Q4 3:48
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
  57. Q4 3:57
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    102-98
  58. Q4 4:19
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    99-98
  59. Q4 4:34
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    99-96
  60. Q4 4:56
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    97-96
  61. Q4 4:58
    Thunder personal foul
  62. Q4 5:06
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  63. Q4 5:06
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    97-94
  64. Q4 5:11
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  65. Q4 5:31
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    95-94
  66. Q4 5:49
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  67. Q4 5:53
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  68. Q4 6:02
    Lakers personal foul
  69. Q4 6:02
    Marcus Smart turnover (offensive foul)
  70. Q4 6:14
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    94-92
  71. Q4 6:14
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  72. Q4 6:14
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
  73. Q4 6:14
    Lakers personal foul
  74. Q4 6:14
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  75. Q4 6:14
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
  76. Q4 6:14
    +1
    Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    95-92
  77. Q4 6:14
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  78. Q4 6:14
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
  79. Q4 6:14
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
  80. Q4 6:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  81. Q4 6:34
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  82. Q4 6:34
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
  83. Q4 6:34
    Instant replay
  84. Q4 6:34
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  85. Q4 6:34
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  86. Q4 6:34
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  87. Q4 6:34
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  88. Q4 6:34
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  89. Q4 6:34
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  90. Q4 6:34
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
  91. Q4 6:35
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  92. Q4 6:35
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
  93. Q4 6:35
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  94. Q4 6:36
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  95. Q4 6:36
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
  96. Q4 6:53
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    92-92
  97. Q4 6:53
    Austin Reaves turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  98. Q4 7:04
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  99. Q4 7:06
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  100. Q4 7:19
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  101. Q4 7:22
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  102. Q4 7:26
    Lakers turnover
  103. Q4 7:45
    Lakers personal foul
  104. Q4 7:45
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    88-92
  105. Q4 7:45
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    89-92
  106. Q4 7:45
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  107. Q4 7:54
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    87-92
  108. Q4 8:25
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    87-89
  109. Q4 8:37
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  110. Q4 8:37
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  111. Q4 8:37
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  112. Q4 8:40
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    84-89
  113. Q4 8:41
    Marcus Smart defensive rebound
  114. Q4 8:44
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  115. Q4 8:49
    Lakers turnover
  116. Q4 8:57
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  117. Q4 9:02
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  118. Q4 9:06
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  119. Q4 9:08
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  120. Q4 9:31
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    84-87
  121. Q4 9:46
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    82-87
  122. Q4 10:06
    Thunder personal foul
  123. Q4 10:06
    Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
  124. Q4 10:06
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James)
  125. Q4 10:06
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  126. Q4 10:11
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  127. Q4 10:14
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  128. Q4 10:32
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    82-85
  129. Q4 10:39
    Lakers personal foul
  130. Q4 10:43
    Lakers personal foul
  131. Q4 10:52
    Thunder personal foul
  132. Q4 10:52
    LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  133. Q4 10:52
    Lakers offensive rebound
  134. Q4 10:52
    +1
    LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-85
  135. Q4 10:52
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
  136. Q4 11:12
    Lakers defensive rebound
  137. Q4 11:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  138. Q4 11:14
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  139. Q4 11:37
    Lakers turnover
  140. Q3 00:00
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    80-84
  141. Q3 00:00
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  142. Q3 00:00
    Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
  143. Q3 00:00
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    80-84
  144. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  145. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  146. Q4 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  147. Q3 00:06
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  148. Q3 00:09
    Lakers personal foul
  149. Q3 00:09
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    80-82
  150. Q3 00:09
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  151. Q3 00:27
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    79-82
  152. Q3 00:30
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  153. Q3 00:32
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  154. Q3 00:53
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    79-80
  155. Q3 1:05
    Lakers personal foul
  156. Q3 1:05
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    78-78
  157. Q3 1:05
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
  158. Q3 1:05
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James)
  159. Q3 1:05
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    79-78
  160. Q3 1:22
    Thunder personal foul
  161. Q3 1:22
    +1
    Rui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    77-77
  162. Q3 1:22
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  163. Q3 1:22
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  164. Q3 1:22
    +1
    Rui Hachimura makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    77-78
  165. Q3 1:44
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    77-76
  166. Q3 2:03
    Thunder personal foul
  167. Q3 2:03
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    75-75
  168. Q3 2:03
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    75-76
  169. Q3 2:03
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
  170. Q3 2:14
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  171. Q3 2:16
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  172. Q3 2:31
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    75-74
  173. Q3 2:49
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    75-72
  174. Q3 3:08
    Thunder personal foul
  175. Q3 3:08
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    73-70
  176. Q3 3:08
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    73-71
  177. Q3 3:08
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    73-72
  178. Q3 3:08
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso)
  179. Q3 3:20
    Thunder personal foul
  180. Q3 3:20
    Cason Wallace turnover (offensive foul)
  181. Q3 3:24
    +3
    Luke Kennard makes three point jump shot
    73-69
  182. Q3 3:40
    Lakers personal foul
  183. Q3 3:40
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    72-66
  184. Q3 3:40
    Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
  185. Q3 3:40
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    73-66
  186. Q3 3:47
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  187. Q3 3:50
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  188. Q3 3:50
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
  189. Q3 4:03
    Thunder defensive rebound
  190. Q3 4:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  191. Q3 4:03
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  192. Q3 4:03
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
  193. Q3 4:03
    Instant replay
  194. Q3 4:03
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
  195. Q3 4:03
    Instant replay
  196. Q3 4:03
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
  197. Q3 4:03
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
  198. Q3 4:04
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  199. Q3 4:08
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  200. Q3 4:10
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    74-66
  201. Q3 4:10
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  202. Q3 4:17
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    71-66
  203. Q3 4:36
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    71-64
  204. Q3 4:54
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    69-64
  205. Q3 5:09
    Lakers personal foul
  206. Q3 5:09
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  207. Q3 5:09
    Thunder offensive rebound
  208. Q3 5:09
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    69-61
  209. Q3 5:22
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  210. Q3 5:22
    Lakers turnover
  211. Q3 5:22
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
  212. Q3 5:25
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  213. Q3 5:39
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    68-61
  214. Q3 5:49
    Thunder personal foul
  215. Q3 5:54
    Lakers personal foul
  216. Q3 5:54
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    67-58
  217. Q3 5:54
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  218. Q3 5:54
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    68-58
  219. Q3 6:14
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    66-58
  220. Q3 6:33
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  221. Q3 6:36
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  222. Q3 6:51
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  223. Q3 6:54
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  224. Q3 7:00
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  225. Q3 7:04
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  226. Q3 7:21
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  227. Q3 7:21
    Thunder personal foul
  228. Q3 7:21
    LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  229. Q3 7:21
    Lakers offensive rebound
  230. Q3 7:21
    +1
    LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    66-55
  231. Q3 7:21
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
  232. Q3 7:35
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    66-54
  233. Q3 7:35
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  234. Q3 7:53
    Lakers turnover
  235. Q3 8:09
    Lakers defensive rebound
  236. Q3 8:09
    Thunder personal foul
  237. Q3 8:09
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
  238. Q3 8:10
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  239. Q3 8:18
    Lakers personal foul
  240. Q3 8:31
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    63-54
  241. Q3 8:48
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    63-52
  242. Q3 8:48
    Lakers violation
  243. Q3 8:53
    Lakers turnover
  244. Q3 9:04
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  245. Q3 9:08
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    61-52
  246. Q3 9:08
    Lakers personal foul
  247. Q3 9:08
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  248. Q3 9:20
    Lakers turnover
  249. Q3 9:39
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    59-52
  250. Q3 10:00
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    57-52
  251. Q3 10:16
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    57-49
  252. Q3 10:18
    Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
  253. Q3 10:22
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  254. Q3 10:38
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    55-49
  255. Q3 10:56
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    55-47
  256. Q3 11:01
    Lakers turnover
  257. Q3 11:21
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    53-47
  258. Q3 11:28
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    51-47
  259. Q3 11:45
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    51-45
  260. Q2 00:00
    Thunder turnover
  261. Q2 00:00
    Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  262. Q2 00:00
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  263. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  264. Q3 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  265. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
  266. Q2 00:16
    Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
  267. Q2 00:16
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  268. Q2 00:16
    Lakers offensive rebound
  269. Q2 00:16
    Thunder personal foul
  270. Q2 00:16
    +1
    Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    49-44
  271. Q2 00:16
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  272. Q2 00:16
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura)
  273. Q2 00:16
    +1
    Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    49-45
  274. Q2 00:18
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  275. Q2 00:30
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  276. Q2 00:30
    Thunder offensive rebound
  277. Q2 00:30
    Lakers personal foul
  278. Q2 00:30
    +1
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    49-43
  279. Q2 00:30
    Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  280. Q2 00:30
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  281. Q2 00:30
    Lakers defensive rebound
  282. Q2 00:30
    Thunder violation
  283. Q2 00:39
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    48-43
  284. Q2 1:00
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    48-41
  285. Q2 1:12
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  286. Q2 1:14
    Thunder personal foul
  287. Q2 1:14
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    46-41
  288. Q2 1:14
    Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  289. Q2 1:14
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
  290. Q2 1:26
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    46-40
  291. Q2 1:37
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    44-40
  292. Q2 1:55
    Thunder personal foul
  293. Q2 1:55
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
  294. Q2 1:55
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  295. Q2 1:58
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  296. Q2 2:00
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  297. Q2 2:12
    Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
  298. Q2 2:12
    +2
    Jaxson Hayes makes two point tip dunk
    44-38
  299. Q2 2:15
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  300. Q2 2:24
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  301. Q2 2:24
    Thunder turnover
  302. Q2 2:35
    Lakers turnover
  303. Q2 2:47
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    44-36
  304. Q2 2:50
    Lakers turnover
  305. Q2 2:58
    Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
  306. Q2 3:01
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  307. Q2 3:15
    Thunder personal foul
  308. Q2 3:15
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    42-35
  309. Q2 3:15
    +1
    Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    42-36
  310. Q2 3:15
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso)
  311. Q2 3:24
    Luke Kennard defensive rebound
  312. Q2 3:27
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  313. Q2 3:45
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    42-34
  314. Q2 4:04
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    42-32
  315. Q2 4:17
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    40-32
  316. Q2 4:34
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  317. Q2 4:37
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  318. Q2 4:48
    Lakers turnover
  319. Q2 5:03
    Lakers personal foul
  320. Q2 5:03
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    39-30
  321. Q2 5:03
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  322. Q2 5:03
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
  323. Q2 5:03
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
  324. Q2 5:03
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
  325. Q2 5:03
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    40-30
  326. Q2 5:15
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    38-30
  327. Q2 5:29
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point layup
  328. Q2 5:29
    Lakers defensive rebound
  329. Q2 5:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  330. Q2 5:29
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  331. Q2 5:29
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  332. Q2 5:38
    Thunder personal foul
  333. Q2 5:38
    +1
    LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    38-27
  334. Q2 5:38
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  335. Q2 5:38
    +1
    LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    38-28
  336. Q2 6:01
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    38-26
  337. Q2 6:08
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  338. Q2 6:11
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  339. Q2 6:17
    Marcus Smart offensive rebound
  340. Q2 6:17
    Marcus Smart misses two point putback layup
  341. Q2 6:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  342. Q2 6:17
    Lakers offensive rebound
  343. Q2 6:19
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  344. Q2 6:35
    Lakers personal foul
  345. Q2 6:35
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    35-26
  346. Q2 6:35
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    36-26
  347. Q2 6:42
    Thunder offensive rebound
  348. Q2 6:42
    Lakers personal foul
  349. Q2 6:42
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort)
  350. Q2 6:44
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  351. Q2 6:49
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  352. Q2 6:50
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  353. Q2 7:12
    Lakers defensive rebound
  354. Q2 7:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  355. Q2 7:12
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, Adou Thiero, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  356. Q2 7:14
    Alex Caruso misses three point jump shot
  357. Q2 7:19
    Lakers personal foul
  358. Q2 7:19
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
  359. Q2 7:29
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  360. Q2 7:33
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  361. Q2 7:48
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    34-26
  362. Q2 7:49
    Jared McCain offensive rebound
  363. Q2 7:55
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  364. Q2 8:05
    Lakers turnover
  365. Q2 8:26
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  366. Q2 8:27
    Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
  367. Q2 8:27
    Thunder offensive rebound
  368. Q2 8:27
    Thunder turnover
  369. Q2 8:27
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Adou Thiero, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  370. Q2 8:32
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  371. Q2 8:50
    Lakers turnover
  372. Q2 9:08
    Lakers defensive rebound
  373. Q2 9:08
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  374. Q2 9:08
    Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (out of bounds step)
  375. Q2 9:14
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  376. Q2 9:28
    Lakers turnover
  377. Q2 9:50
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  378. Q2 9:50
    Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  379. Q2 9:51
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    31-26
  380. Q2 9:57
    Jarred Vanderbilt misses two point jump shot
  381. Q2 9:57
    Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
  382. Q2 9:57
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  383. Q2 10:02
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  384. Q2 10:19
    Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
  385. Q2 10:19
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  386. Q2 10:22
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  387. Q2 10:29
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  388. Q2 10:31
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  389. Q2 10:54
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    29-26
  390. Q2 10:54
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  391. Q2 10:54
    Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Jarred Vanderbilt)
  392. Q2 10:56
    Lakers turnover
  393. Q2 11:10
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    27-26
  394. Q2 11:18
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  395. Q2 11:20
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  396. Q2 11:40
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    24-26
  397. Q2 11:49
    Lakers personal foul
  398. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  399. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
  400. Q2 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Jarred Vanderbilt)
  401. Q1 00:02
    Thunder turnover
  402. Q1 00:18
    Thunder personal foul
  403. Q1 00:18
    +1
    Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    21-25
  404. Q1 00:18
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Jarred Vanderbilt, Rui Hachimura)
  405. Q1 00:18
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  406. Q1 00:18
    +1
    Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    21-26
  407. Q1 00:30
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  408. Q1 00:32
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  409. Q1 00:44
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    21-24
  410. Q1 00:58
    Thunder personal foul
  411. Q1 1:00
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  412. Q1 1:04
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  413. Q1 1:17
    Lakers turnover
  414. Q1 1:17
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  415. Q1 1:17
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
  416. Q1 1:39
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    21-22
  417. Q1 1:53
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    19-22
  418. Q1 2:11
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    19-19
  419. Q1 2:32
    Thunder personal foul
  420. Q1 2:32
    +1
    Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    16-18
  421. Q1 2:32
    +1
    Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    16-19
  422. Q1 2:41
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  423. Q1 2:45
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  424. Q1 2:54
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  425. Q1 2:56
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  426. Q1 3:14
    Thunder personal foul
  427. Q1 3:14
    Isaiah Joe turnover (offensive foul)
  428. Q1 3:25
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  429. Q1 3:25
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  430. Q1 3:25
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
  431. Q1 3:25
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
  432. Q1 3:27
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  433. Q1 3:37
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    16-17
  434. Q1 3:43
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  435. Q1 3:44
    Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
  436. Q1 3:44
    Jaxson Hayes misses two point tip layup
  437. Q1 3:48
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  438. Q1 4:11
    Thunder turnover
  439. Q1 4:11
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
  440. Q1 4:11
    Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  441. Q1 4:15
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  442. Q1 4:18
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  443. Q1 4:30
    Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
  444. Q1 4:33
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  445. Q1 4:53
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    14-17
  446. Q1 5:01
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  447. Q1 5:03
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  448. Q1 5:21
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    14-15
  449. Q1 5:37
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  450. Q1 5:39
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  451. Q1 5:53
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    14-13
  452. Q1 6:00
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  453. Q1 6:04
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  454. Q1 6:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  455. Q1 6:13
    Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  456. Q1 6:13
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
  457. Q1 6:29
    +3
    Lakers makes three point jump shot
    14-11
  458. Q1 6:42
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    14-8
  459. Q1 6:42
    Lakers 60 second timeout
  460. Q1 6:42
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
  461. Q1 6:51
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  462. Q1 6:52
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  463. Q1 7:04
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  464. Q1 7:08
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  465. Q1 7:17
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  466. Q1 7:19
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  467. Q1 7:36
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    12-8
  468. Q1 7:49
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  469. Q1 7:53
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  470. Q1 8:08
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    10-8
  471. Q1 8:20
    Thunder personal foul
  472. Q1 8:20
    +1
    LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    7-7
  473. Q1 8:20
    +1
    LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    7-8
  474. Q1 8:22
    Marcus Smart defensive rebound
  475. Q1 8:26
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  476. Q1 8:37
    Lakers personal foul
  477. Q1 8:47
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    7-6
  478. Q1 8:48
    Austin Reaves defensive rebound
  479. Q1 8:51
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  480. Q1 9:01
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  481. Q1 9:04
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  482. Q1 9:21
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    7-4
  483. Q1 9:37
    Lakers personal foul
  484. Q1 9:48
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    5-4
  485. Q1 9:57
    LeBron James defensive rebound
  486. Q1 10:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  487. Q1 10:13
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  488. Q1 10:16
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  489. Q1 10:31
    Thunder personal foul
  490. Q1 10:31
    Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
  491. Q1 10:35
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  492. Q1 10:38
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  493. Q1 10:52
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    5-2
  494. Q1 11:00
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  495. Q1 11:03
    Lakers misses three point jump shot
  496. Q1 11:19
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    3-2
  497. Q1 11:30
    Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
  498. Q1 11:30
    +2
    Lakers makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  499. Q1 11:34
    Lakers misses two point jump shot
  500. Q1 12:00
    Lakers lineup change (Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura)
  501. Q1 12:00
    (LeBron James gains possession)
Box Score
Thunder
PosPlayerPts
Lakers
PosPlayerPts

Thunder vs. Lakers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Lakers
  • Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -12.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -471, Lakers +475

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 83%
  • Lakers: 17%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 113-102 Lakers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 83%, while the Lakers have a win probability of 17%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Lakers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.