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NBA player props today: Black Friday best props include Devin Vassell [11/28/2025]
Get NBA player props today with projections for Friday's games.

Dimers' NBA props are live for Black Friday, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes and Mark Williams.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Cavaliers vs. Hawks and 76ers vs. Nets, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Friday, 11/28
Sourced from 60+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for November 28, ranked by edge.
Devin Vassell over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 14.4%
- Probability: 48.4%
- Projection: 1.4
- Game: Spurs vs. Nuggets (9:30PM ET)
Our model has found value on San Antonio's Devin Vassell over 1.5 steals. A probability of 48.4% gives this play an edge of 14.4% at +194 odds.
Harrison Barnes over 2.5 3-pointers made (+142)
- Edge: 10.5%
- Probability: 51.8%
- Projection: 2.7
- Game: Spurs vs. Nuggets (9:30PM ET)
Harrison Barnes’s 3-pointers made prop shows a 10.5% edge at +142 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.7 3-pointers made on the over 2.5 line.
Mark Williams over 1.5 blocks (+177)
- Edge: 10.4%
- Probability: 46.5%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Suns vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)
Our model shows value on Mark Williams over 1.5 blocks, supported by a 10.4% edge at +177 odds.
Daniel Gafford over 1.5 blocks (+149)
- Edge: 10.1%
- Probability: 50.3%
- Projection: 1.5
- Game: Mavericks vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Daniel Gafford to record 1.5 blocks today, creating an edge of 10.1% on the over 1.5 line at +149 odds.
Jusuf Nurkic over 3.5 assists (+118)
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Projection: 4.5
- Game: Kings vs. Jazz (9:30PM ET)
Our model shows value on Jusuf Nurkic over 3.5 assists for Utah, showing an edge of 9.9% edge at +118 odds.
Brandon Williams over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 9.7%
- Probability: 47.8%
- Projection: 1.4
- Game: Mavericks vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)
Brandon Williams’s steals prop shows an edge of 9.7% edge at +162 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.4 today.
Alex Caruso over 1.5 steals (+138)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 51.1%
- Projection: 1.6
- Game: Suns vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)
Our model projects Alex Caruso for 1.6 steals for Oklahoma City, creating an edge of 9.1% on over 1.5 at +138 odds.
Anthony Davis over 1.5 blocks (+162)
- Edge: 9.0%
- Probability: 47.2%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Mavericks vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Anthony Davis for 1.2 blocks, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds and a 9.0% edge.
James Harden over 1.5 steals (+166)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 46.5%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Grizzlies vs. Clippers (10:00PM ET)
An 8.9% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes James Harden a value play in Grizzlies vs. Clippers, with our model projecting him for 1.3 steals at +166 odds.
Anthony Davis over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 42.9%
- Projection: 1.0
- Game: Mavericks vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Anthony Davis for 1.0 steals here, creating a 8.9% edge on the over 1.5 line at -130 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Friday, November 28, 2025
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 8:56PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Devin Vassell over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 14.4% | 48.4% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Harrison Barnes over 2.5 3-pointers made | +142 @ FanDuel | 10.5% | 51.8% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Mark Williams over 1.5 blocks | +177 @ DraftKings | 10.1% | 50.3% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Daniel Gafford over 1.5 blocks | +149 @ DraftKings | 10.1% | 50.3% |
| Kings vs. Jazz | Jusuf Nurkic over 3.5 assists | +118 @ FanDuel | 9.9% | 55.8% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Brandon Williams over 1.5 steals | +162 @ FanDuel | 9.7% | 47.8% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Alex Caruso over 1.5 steals | +138 @ FanDuel | 9.1% | 51.1% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Anthony Davis over 1.5 blocks | +162 @ FanDuel | 9.0% | 47.2% |
| Grizzlies vs. Clippers | James Harden over 1.5 steals | +166 @ DraftKings | 8.9% | 46.5% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Anthony Davis over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 8.9% | 42.9% |
Conclusion
For November 28, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes and Mark Williams. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
