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NBA Playoffs player props today: Friday's best props include Nikola Jokic [4/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get NBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for April 24, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Nikola Jokic, Jalen Johnson and OG Anunoby.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including Knicks vs. Hawks and Nuggets vs. Timberwolves, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop bets for Friday's playoffs, 4/23
Below are the top ten NBA player props for April 23, ranked by probability.
Nikola Jokic over 10.5 assists (+110)
- Edge: 15.0%
- Probability: 62.6%
- Projection: 12.8
- Game: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)
Our model has found value on Denver's Nikola Jokic over 10.5 assists. A probability of 62.6% gives this play an edge of 15.0% at +110 odds.
Jalen Johnson over 6.5 assists (+112)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 54.4%
- Projection: 7.3
- Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)
Jalen Johnson’s assists prop shows a 7.3% edge at +112 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 7.3 assists on the over 6.5 line.
OG Anunoby over 16.5 points scored (+106)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 54.2%
- Projection: 18.5
- Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on OG Anunoby over 16.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 54.2% probability and a 5.7% edge at +106.
Rudy Gobert over 1.5 blocks (+140)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 48.4%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)
Our model projects Rudy Gobert to record 1.3 blocks today, creating an edge of 6.8% on the over 1.5 line at +140 odds.
OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals (+143)
- Edge: 6.1%
- Probability: 47.2%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals for New York, showing an edge of 6.1% at +143 odds.
Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals (+164)
- Edge: 9.0%
- Probability: 46.9%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)
Nikola Jokic’s steals prop shows an edge of 9.0% at +164 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 today.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 1.5 steals (+154)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 46.4%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)
Our model projects Nickeil Alexander-Walker for 1.3 steals for Atlanta, creating an edge of 7.1% on over 1.5 at +154 odds.
Anthony Edwards over 1.5 steals (+163)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 46.2%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Anthony Edwards for 1.2 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +163 odds and a 8.1% edge.
Jalen Johnson under 0.5 steals (+179)
- Edge: 7.6%
- Probability: 43.4%
- Projection: 1.0
- Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)
A 7.6% edge on the under 1.5 steals line makes Jalen Johnson a value play in Knicks vs. Hawks, with our model projecting him for 1.0 steals at +179 odds.
CJ McCollum to score first basket (+700)
- Edge: 1.0%
- Probability: 13.5%
- Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on CJ McCollum to score first basket here, with a 13.5% probability and 1.0% edge at +700 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Thursday, April 23, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:03AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Nikola Jokic over 10.5 assists | +110 @ DraftKings | 15.0% | 62.6% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Jalen Johnson over 6.5 assists | +112 @ FanDuel | 7.3% | 54.4% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | OG Anunoby over 16.5 points scored | +106 @ FanDuel | 6.8% | 48.4% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Rudy Gobert over 1.5 blocks | +140 @ BetMGM | 6.8% | 48.4% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals | +143 @ DraftKings | 6.1% | 47.2% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals | +164 @ DraftKings | 9.0% | 46.9% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 1.5 steals | +154 @ DraftKings | 7.1% | 46.4% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Anthony Edwards over 1.5 steals | +163 @ DraftKings | 8.1% | 46.2% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Jalen Johnson under 1.5 steals | +179 @ DraftKings | 7.6% | 43.4% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | CJ McCollum to score first basket | +700 @ FanDuel | 1.0% | 13.5% |
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Conclusion
For April 23, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Nikola Jokic, Jalen Johnson and OG Anunoby. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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