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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, November 26, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of Wednesday's NBA slate.
Our NBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, November 26, 2025—are live with the Celtics' Jaylen Brown projected as the most likely player to score first, according to Dimers’ latest first basket probabilities.
Dimers’ first basket projections are based on player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily NBA player projections.
Brown, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and De'Aaron Fox lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature the top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
NBA first basket predictions today (November 26, 2025)
| Player | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | Celtics | 17.4% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Thunder | 16.4% |
| De'Aaron Fox | Spurs | 14.8% |
| Jalen Brunson | Knicks | 14.3% |
| Anthony Edwards | Timberwolves | 14.2% |
| Cade Cunningham | Pistons | 14.1% |
| Pascal Siakam | Pacers | 14.0% |
| Dillon Brooks | Suns | 13.3% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | Knicks | 12.9% |
| Jalen Duren | Pistons | 12.9% |
| Norman Powell | Heat | 12.8% |
| Julius Randle | Timberwolves | 12.0% |
| Chet Holmgren | Thunder | 11.9% |
| Zion Williamson | Pelicans | 11.8% |
| Brandon Ingram | Raptors | 11.7% |
NBA first basket picks today (November 26, 2025)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | Timberwolves | 3.1% | +800 | 14.2% |
| DeMar DeRozan | Kings | 2.8% | +1100 | 11.2% |
| Ryan Rollins | Bucks | 2.3% | +1000 | 11.4% |
| Drew Eubanks | Kings | 2.3% | +1100 | 10.6% |
| Andrew Nembhard | Pacers | 1.6% | +950 | 11.2% |
| Dillon Brooks | Suns | 1.6% | +750 | 13.3% |
| Jalen Duren | Pistons | 1.2% | +750 | 12.9% |
| Cade Cunningham | Pistons | 0.8% | +650 | 14.1% |
| Pascal Siakam | Pacers | 0.7% | +650 | 14.0% |
| Jaylen Brown | Celtics | 0.2% | +480 | 17.4% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, November 26, 2025, Jaylen Brown, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and De'Aaron Fox lead our first basket projections, while Anthony Edwards shapes as the strongest value play at at +800. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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