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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, November 25, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of Tuesday's NBA slate.
Our NBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Tuesday, November 25, 2025—are live with the 76ers' Tyrese Maxey projected as the most likely player to score first, according to Dimers’ latest first basket probabilities.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily NBA player projections.
Maxey, Alex Sarr and Ivica Zubac lead Tuesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature the best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
NBA first basket predictions today (November 25, 2025)
| Player | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | 76ers | 16.9% |
| Alex Sarr | Wizards | 14.0% |
| Ivica Zubac | Clippers | 13.2% |
| Luka Doncic | Lakers | 12.8% |
| Kawhi Leonard | Clippers | 12.4% |
| CJ McCollum | Wizards | 12.3% |
| James Harden | Clippers | 12.1% |
| Jalen Johnson | Hawks | 11.7% |
| Franz Wagner | Magic | 11.5% |
| Kristaps Porzingis | Hawks | 11.5% |
| LeBron James | Lakers | 10.9% |
| Desmond Bane | Magic | 10.9% |
| Austin Reaves | Lakers | 10.8% |
| Jalen Suggs | Magic | 10.4% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | Hawks | 10.4% |
NBA first basket picks today (November 25, 2025)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard | Clippers | 3.3% | +1000 | 12.4% |
| CJ McCollum | Wizards | 2.8% | +950 | 12.3% |
| Tyrese Maxey | 76ers | 2.6% | +600 | 16.9% |
| Alex Sarr | Wizards | 2.2% | +750 | 14.0% |
| Corey Kispert | Wizards | 1.8% | +1300 | 9.0% |
| James Harden | Clippers | 1.0% | +800 | 12.1% |
| Jalen Suggs | Magic | 0.9% | +950 | 10.4% |
| Tristan da Silva | Magic | 0.9% | +1100 | 9.2% |
| John Collins | Clippers | 0.9% | +1400 | 7.5% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Tuesday, November 25, 2025, Tyrese Maxey, Alex Sarr and Ivica Zubac lead our first basket projections, while Kawhi Leonard shapes as the strongest value play at at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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