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NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Tuesday 5/23/23

NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Tuesday 5/23/23

It's time for a exciting day of NBA Playoffs basketball, and we've run thousands of Celtics vs. Heat Game 4 simulations to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Tuesday May 23, 2023.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Tuesday's projections below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

 

The top online sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has identified where to find the best value on Tuesday 5/23.

Tuesday's NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game 4 between the Celtics and Heat is set to showcase players such as Jayson Tatum, Jimmy Butler, and Jaylen Brown, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on May 23.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight - Celtics vs. Heat Game 4

Having simulated today's Celtics vs. Heat Game 4, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket betting picks for Tuesday.

Max Strus To Score First Basket (+1100)

  • Odds: +1100 via FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Edge: 0.6%
  • Probability: 8.9%
  • Matchup: Celtics vs. Heat (8:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Celtics and Heat. The bet is on Max Strus (MIA) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 0.6%.

 

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions - Tuesday May 23, 2023

In addition to providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also identified the most likely players to score the first basket in Game 4 of Celtics vs. Heat.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Jayson Tatum, with a probability of 14.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Jimmy Butler, with a 14.6% probability, and Jaylen Brown, with a 14.2% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight - May 23, 2023

With Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals between the Celtics and Heat set to go down tonight, DimersBOT has provided the probabiliy of each of the 10 likely starters scoring the first basket.

  • Jayson Tatum (BOS): 14.8% probability
  • Jimmy Butler (MIA): 14.6% probability
  • Jaylen Brown (BOS): 14.2% probability
  • Bam Adebayo (MIA): 11.5% probability
  • Max Strus (MIA): 8.9% probability
  • Gabe Vincent (MIA): 8.2% probability
  • Derrick White (BOS): 8.0% probability
  • Marcus Smart (BOS): 7.6% probability
  • Kevin Love (MIA): 6.8% probability
  • Al Horford (BOS): 5.5% probability

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Tuesday, it does not always mean they are suggested bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props - Tuesday May 23, 2023

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks - May 23, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday May 23 have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations per game, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

If you enjoyed our NBA first basket props, you're definitely going to want to check out the rest of Dimers' NBA prop picks for today.

Here, we have suggested plays on player points, rebounds, assists, 3-pointers, and more! Plus, with the ability to filter which of Tuesday's NBA matchups you want props for, there's no shortage of options when it comes to your same-game parlays for today's basketball action.

Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen has a track record of delivering high-quality content. He writes about all sports, but his favorites are the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Kevin enjoys crunching the numbers and using data-driven insights to take on the sportsbooks. The majority of Kevin's time is spent writing about sports betting. His love for data and analytics drove him to the world of sports betting. Finding an edge in sports betting can take a long time, but Kevin believes it is well worth the effort. Kevin is just as passionate about sports as you are, and he empowers fellow bettors to become more educated through simple, actionable betting tips. It can be difficult to navigate the world of sports betting, which is where Kevin comes in to make it as simple as possible for you to pick a winner.

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