...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
NBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, December 7, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of NBA slate on 12/7.
Our NBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Sunday, December 7, 2025—are live with the Celtics' Jaylen Brown projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily NBA player projections.
Brown, Tyrese Maxey and Nikola Jokic lead Sunday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
NBA first basket predictions tonight (December 7, 2025)
| Player | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | Celtics | 14.5% |
| Tyrese Maxey | 76ers | 14.3% |
| Nikola Jokic | Nuggets | 14.2% |
| Chet Holmgren | Thunder | 14.1% |
| Jamal Murray | Nuggets | 13.6% |
| Brandon Miller | Hornets | 13.3% |
| Miles Bridges | Hornets | 13.1% |
| Luka Doncic | Lakers | 13.1% |
| Jalen Brunson | Knicks | 12.8% |
| Jalen Williams | Thunder | 12.8% |
| Kon Knueppel | Hornets | 12.8% |
| Deni Avdija | Trail Blazers | 12.8% |
| Franz Wagner | Magic | 12.7% |
| Lauri Markkanen | Jazz | 12.4% |
| Keyonte George | Jazz | 12.2% |
NBA first basket picks today (December 7, 2025)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant | Trail Blazers | 2.4% | +950 | 11.9% |
| Donovan Clingan | Trail Blazers | 1.8% | +1000 | 10.9% |
| Coby White | Bulls | 1.0% | +950 | 10.5% |
| Payton Pritchard | Celtics | 0.5% | +950 | 10.0% |
| Zach Edey | Grizzlies | 0.3% | +750 | 12.0% |
| Austin Reaves | Lakers | 0.2% | +800 | 11.4% |
| Jaylen Brown | Celtics | 0.2% | +600 | 14.5% |
| Jalen Suggs | Magic | 0.1% | +900 | 10.1% |
| Ajay Mitchell | Thunder | 0.0% | +900 | 10.0% |
| Tyrese Maxey | 76ers | 0.0% | +600 | 14.3% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 12/7.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Sunday, December 7, 2025, Jaylen Brown, Tyrese Maxey and Nikola Jokic lead our first basket projections, while Jerami Grant shapes as the strongest value play at +950. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure