Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of Sunday's NBA slate.
Our NBA first basket predictions for November 2, 2025, are based on Sunday's latest data and matchups.
Our NBA first basket predictions for Sunday, November 2, 2025, are live—with Victor Wembanyama of the Spurs the most likely player to score the first basket per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Sunday's first basket predictions pull from our full list of NBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.
Who will score the first basket tonight? [November 2, 2025]
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Victor Wembanyama, with a probability of 16.2%.
Player (Team)
FB Probability
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)
16.2%
Collin Sexton (Hornets)
16.0%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)
15.9%
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)
15.6%
Luka Doncic (Lakers)
15.3%
Devin Booker (Suns)
14.5%
Miles Bridges (Hornets)
13.7%
Lauri Markkanen (Jazz)
13.3%
Scottie Barnes (Raptors)
13.0%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)
13.0%
Following Wembanyama closely are Collin Sexton at 16.0% and Jalen Brunson at 15.9%.
Donovan Mitchell and Luka Doncic are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Sunday available via today’s NBA player projections.
Victor Wembanyama is among the top contenders in the NBA to score the first basket on Sunday, November 2, 2025.
Best NBA first basket picks [11/2/2025]
After simulating the outcome of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our independent predictive analytics model has found the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Sunday.
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Sunday's NBA slate in the game between the Grizzlies and Raptors. The bet is on Scottie Barnes (TOR) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.0% according to our analysis.
Not only does Barnes present an edge according to the model, but he is also among our top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.
For November 2, 2025, our NBA first basket predictions spotlight standout players like Victor Wembanyama, Collin Sexton and Jalen Brunson—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Scottie Barnes who emerges as the top play, showing a calculated 4.0% edge at +1000 odds.
These projections are built from 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable basis for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
