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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, December 8, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of NBA slate on 12/8.
Our NBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Monday, December 8, 2025—are live with the Pacers' Pascal Siakam projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily NBA player projections.
Siakam, De'Aaron Fox and Anthony Edwards lead Monday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
NBA first basket predictions tonight (December 8, 2025)
| Player | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | Pacers | 15.2% |
| De'Aaron Fox | Spurs | 15.0% |
| Anthony Edwards | Timberwolves | 14.6% |
| Dillon Brooks | Suns | 13.8% |
| Maxime Raynaud | Kings | 11.6% |
| Devin Vassell | Spurs | 11.6% |
| Derik Queen | Pelicans | 11.0% |
| Zach LaVine | Kings | 10.9% |
| Jeremiah Fears | Pelicans | 10.8% |
| Julius Randle | Timberwolves | 10.8% |
| Bennedict Mathurin | Pacers | 10.8% |
| Saddiq Bey | Pelicans | 10.6% |
| Mark Williams | Suns | 10.5% |
| Collin Gillespie | Suns | 10.4% |
| DeMar DeRozan | Kings | 10.2% |
NBA first basket picks today (December 8, 2025)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Raynaud | Kings | 3.3% | +1100 | 11.6% |
| Dillon Brooks | Suns | 0.5% | +650 | 13.8% |
| Anthony Edwards | Timberwolves | 0.3% | +600 | 14.6% |
| Jay Huff | Pacers | 0.2% | +1000 | 9.3% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 12/8.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Monday, December 8, 2025, Pascal Siakam, De'Aaron Fox and Anthony Edwards lead our first basket projections, while Maxime Raynaud shapes as the strongest value play at +1100. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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