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NBA betting model insights report: Analyzing this week's performance [12/03/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Reviewed by Jason Bevilacqua
This report pulls data from our backend resulting dashboard to highlight where our in-house NBA model has historically excelled with a positive ROI.
A new NBA Model Insights report is here, and we’re hoping to keep things moving in the right direction. We’ve been using these edges to our advantage, now riding a 5-0 Best Bet run in this series after last week’s OT win for Memphis.
Each week, this report surfaces the most meaningful signals from our internal results dashboard — showing where the Dimers NBA Model has historically delivered a positive ROI — and outlining how you can apply those same profitable patterns when you visit the NBA Best Bets page this week.
Let's get into this week's numbers.
NBA 2025-26 season analysis
Our NBA model continues to pick up steam, showing a positive return in every traditional betting market (ML/Spread/Totals)
| SPOT | SAMPLE SIZE | ROI |
| Moneyline bets (edge 2% and up) | 70+ | POSITIVE |
| Spread bets (edge 2% and up) | 65+ | POSITIVE |
| Points Totals (2-5% edge) | 10+ | POSITIVE |
What does all of that mean?
The Dimers NBA model continues its great start to the season, maintaining a positive ROI across every major market — Moneyline, Spreads, and Totals.
When you zoom in, the standouts so far have been Road Team Moneylines and Moneyline Underdogs — those bigger plus-money swings with an edge have really paid off for Dimers Pro users this season.
We’re also seeing solid returns on ML favorites against the spread, which has quietly been one of the more reliable spots to attack when visiting the NBA Best Bets page.
Both opening line and closing line totals are in the green too, showing that the model’s staying sharp even as the numbers move throughout the day leading up to tip-off.
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NBA best bet for Wednesday👇
As of publishing, this bet perfectly fits one of the criteria outlined above.
Over 240.5 (Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers)
Another nine-game NBA slate is on tap for Wednesday, and we’re jumping in with one of the first games on the docket with the Under 240.5 in the Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers matchup.
With a 53.2% probability, our model’s picked out a 2.0% edge on the best available odds of -105 with Caesars Sportsbook, which drops this play right into one of our profitable zones for the season — Totals with an edge between 2–5% ✅
Conclusion
Building on a successful start, the focus remains on leveraging the most profitable patterns identified by the Dimers NBA Model. The 2025 season analysis confirms the model's status as one of the sharpest in the industry, continuing to show positive ROI in key areas.
These insights are designed to guide your weekly approach to the NBA Best Bets page, helping you apply the same profitable strategies that have been delivering strong returns. By focusing on these opportunities, you give yourself the best chance to replicate the model's success and maximize your returns on the hardwood this week.
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Responsible gambling
Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Jason Bevilacqua through our fact-checking process.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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