Murray State vs. Valparaiso prediction: Murray State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/21/2025]

Valparaiso will take on the favored Murray State in men's college basketball action at Athletics-Recreation Center on Sunday, beginning at 2:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Murray State as the most likely winner of the Murray State vs. Valparaiso game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Murray State vs. Valparaiso prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAA basketball game between Murray State and Valparaiso 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Murray State a 68% chance of defeating Valparaiso. Our predicted final score has Murray State winning 78-73.

According to our model, Valparaiso (+5.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 153.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Murray State vs. Valparaiso odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Murray State vs. Valparaiso picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: