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Murray State vs. Valparaiso prediction: Murray State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Murray State vs Valparaiso predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Valparaiso will square off with the favored Murray State in men's college basketball action at Athletics-Recreation Center on Sunday, starting at 2:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Murray State as the most likely winner of the Murray State vs. Valparaiso game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Murray State vs. Valparaiso prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAA basketball matchup between Murray State and Valparaiso 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Murray State a 66% chance of defeating Valparaiso. Our predicted final score has Murray State winning 78-73.
According to our model, Valparaiso (+5.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 155.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Murray State vs. Valparaiso odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Murray State | Valparaiso |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-110) | +5.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -235 | +205 |
| Total | o155.5 (-108) | u155.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Murray State vs. Valparaiso picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Valparaiso +5.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Valparaiso | +205 |
| Total | Under 155.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Valparaiso +5.5 at the spread.
Murray State vs. Valparaiso game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball matchup between Valparaiso and Murray State at Athletics-Recreation Center is scheduled to start at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Murray State vs. Valparaiso
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Athletics-Recreation Center
Conclusion
We predict Murray State, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Valparaiso on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Murray State vs. Valparaiso insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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