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Murray State vs. Indiana State prediction: Why Murray State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Murray State vs Indiana State predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Indiana State will face Murray State in men's college basketball action at Hulman Center on Thursday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Murray State as the most likely winner of the Murray State vs. Indiana State game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Murray State vs. Indiana State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Murray State and Indiana State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Murray State a 65% chance of beating Indiana State. Our predicted final score has Murray State winning 81-76.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Murray State and Indiana State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 163.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.
Murray State vs. Indiana State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Murray State | Indiana State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-115) | +3.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -180 | +162 |
| Total | o163.5 (-110) | u163.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Murray State vs. Indiana State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Indiana State +3.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Murray State | -180 |
| Total | Under 163.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 163.5 total points.
Murray State vs. Indiana State game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball game between Indiana State and Murray State at Hulman Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Murray State vs. Indiana State
- Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Hulman Center
Conclusion
We predict Murray State, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Indiana State on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Murray State vs. Indiana State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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