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Canadiens vs. Golden Knights prediction: Vegas favored to win Black Friday NHL matchup [11/28/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Montreal Canadiens vs Vegas Golden Knights predictions for NHL Friday.
NHL action continues on Black Friday at 4:00PM ET as the Montreal Canadiens take on the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Golden Knights as the most likely winner of the Canadiens vs. Golden Knights game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Habs vs. Golden Knights prediction: Who will win and cover?
As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Friday's clash between the Canadiens and Golden Knights.
Our independent predictive model gives the Golden Knights a 62% chance of defeating the Canadiens.
According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Canadiens vs. Golden Knights odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Canadiens | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-145) | -1.5 (+130) |
| Moneyline | +165 | -192 |
| Total | o6.5 (+110) | u6.5 (-124) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Canadiens vs. Golden Knights picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Canadiens +1.5 | -145 |
| Moneyline | Canadiens | +165 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -124 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Canadiens to win.
Canadiens vs. Golden Knights player props
Who will score a goal in Canadiens vs. Golden Knights?
According to our model, Cole Caufield is most likely to score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Golden Knights.
Our projections give Caufield a 36.5% chance of scoring a goal at T-Mobile Arena, while the star is an 8.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 36.5% |
| Nick Suzuki | 28.6% |
| Ivan Demidov | 26.4% |
| Oliver Kapanen | 22.3% |
| Zachary Bolduc | 22.2% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 35.2% |
| Tomas Hertl | 34.1% |
| Jack Eichel | 34.0% |
| Braeden Bowman | 29.3% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 23.9% |
First goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 8.4% |
| Nick Suzuki | 5.3% |
| Ivan Demidov | 4.8% |
| Oliver Kapanen | 4.0% |
| Zachary Bolduc | 3.7% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 6.9% |
| Jack Eichel | 6.5% |
| Tomas Hertl | 6.4% |
| Braeden Bowman | 5.6% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 4.2% |
Habs vs. Golden Knights game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Golden Knights and Canadiens at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to commence at 4:00PM ET.
- Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Vegas Golden Knights
- Date: Friday, November 28, 2025 (Black Friday)
- Time: 4:00PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
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Conclusion
We predict the Golden Knights, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Black Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Canadiens vs. Golden Knights insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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