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Canadiens vs. Senators prediction: Ottawa favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators predictions for NHL Saturday.
NHL action continues on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET as the Montreal Canadiens square off with the Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Senators a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Canadiens.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Canadiens vs. Senators matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Habs vs. Senators prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Canadiens and Senators 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Senators a 52% chance of defeating the Canadiens.
According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Canadiens vs. Senators odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Canadiens | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-235) | -1.5 (+205) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -120 |
| Total | o6.5 (-105) | u6.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Canadiens vs. Senators picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Canadiens +1.5 | -235 |
| Moneyline | Canadiens | +105 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -112 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Canadiens vs. Senators player props
Who will score a goal in Canadiens vs. Senators?
According to our model, Brady Tkachuk is most likely to score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Senators.
Our projections give Tkachuk a 33.2% chance of scoring a goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the star is a 5.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 30.7% |
| Nick Suzuki | 27.1% |
| Alexandre Texier | 26.6% |
| Ivan Demidov | 26.2% |
| Oliver Kapanen | 25.2% |
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 33.2% |
| Tim Stutzle | 32.1% |
| Drake Batherson | 28.0% |
| Shane Pinto | 24.2% |
| Dylan Cozens | 22.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 5.9% |
| Alexandre Texier | 4.9% |
| Nick Suzuki | 4.7% |
| Oliver Kapanen | 4.7% |
| Ivan Demidov | 4.5% |
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tim Stutzle | 6.7% |
| Brady Tkachuk | 5.7% |
| Drake Batherson | 5.1% |
| Shane Pinto | 4.5% |
| Dylan Cozens | 3.9% |
Habs vs. Senators game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Senators and Canadiens at Canadian Tire Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Ottawa Senators
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Senators, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Canadiens vs. Senators insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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