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Canadiens vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Senators NHL game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
6
5
Jan 18, 12AM Canadian Tire Centre
Jan 18, 12AM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
Senators | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
Senators | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
OT1 00:33 Goal scored by Cole Caufield assisted by Lane Hutson
OT1 00:28 Shot missed by Senators
P3 19:59 Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P3 19:52 Mike Matheson shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 18:21 Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 13:37 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 13:36 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 11:49 Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P3 11:33 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 11:31 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 11:22 Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:42 Shot missed by Nick Jensen
P3 10:17 Jordan Spence shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
P3 08:15 Shot missed by Lars Eller
P3 07:55 Goal scored by Jake Sanderson assisted by Ridly Greig
P3 07:47 Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 06:22 Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Leevi Merilainen
P3 05:46 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 04:24 Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P3 04:22 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Leevi Merilainen
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
GOAL
Goal scored by Cole Caufield assisted by Lane Hutson
6-5
SHOT
Shot missed by Senators
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Samuel Montembeault
Canadiens won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Canadiens won faceoff against Senators in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Canadiens won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Canadiens won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Michael Amadio in offensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by teammate
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Jensen
Fabian Zetterlund credited with hit on Arber Xhekaj in offensive zone
SHOT
Jordan Spence shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
Jake Evans won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Mike Matheson credited with hit on Michael Amadio in neutral zone
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Lars Eller
Nick Cousins credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Sanderson assisted by Ridly Greig
3-5
SHOT
Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Ridly Greig
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Leevi Merilainen
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Ivan Demidov in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Leevi Merilainen
Giveaway by Zachary Bolduc in defensive zone
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Lane Hutson
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Nick Cousins
Brendan Gallagher credited with hit on Jordan Spence in offensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
Takeaway by Ivan Demidov in neutral zone
Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
Takeaway by Jake Sanderson in defensive zone
Claude Giroux credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Leevi Merilainen
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
Canadiens won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
Joseph Veleno credited with hit on Artem Zub in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Samuel Montembeault
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Cozens assisted by Tim Stutzle and Jake Sanderson
3-3
Canadiens won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Samuel Montembeault
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Ridly Greig shot blocked by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Power play - Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Artem Zub in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
Penalty to Nick Cousins 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Noah Dobson)
Jake Evans won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
Nick Cousins credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
SHOT
Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Shot missed by Lars Eller
Jake Evans won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Leevi Merilainen
Canadiens won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tim Stutzle assisted by Nick Cousins and Lars Eller
2-2
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by teammate
Canadiens won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk
2-1
SHOT
Power play - Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by teammate
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Cole Caufield
2-0
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Leevi Merilainen
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Jake Sanderson in defensive zone
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Samuel Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Samuel Montembeault
Jake Evans won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
SHOT
Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Nick Jensen
Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Samuel Montembeault
Giveaway by Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Lars Eller won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Joseph Veleno
Stoppage - Chlg Hm - off-side
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Senators
Giveaway by Cole Caufield in neutral zone
SHOT
Jordan Spence shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Samuel Montembeault
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
Joseph Veleno credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in offensive zone
Fabian Zetterlund credited with hit on Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Phillip Danault
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
Takeaway by Zachary Bolduc in offensive zone
Giveaway by Noah Dobson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Evans
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Matheson
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Drake Batherson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Lars Eller won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Juraj Slafkovský assisted by Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki
1-0
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Leevi Merilainen
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Spence
SHOT
Drake Batherson shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Ridly Greig credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
Giveaway by Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 19 | Shots on Goal | 34 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 5/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/2 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 12 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 26 | |||
| 24 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 19 | Shots on Goal | 34 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 5/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/2 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 12 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 26 | |||
| 24 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Canadiens vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Senators
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +105, Senators -114
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 47%
- Senators: 53%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 47%, while the Senators have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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