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Canadiens vs. Oilers prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [10/23/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Montreal Canadiens vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Edmonton Oilers will take on the Montreal Canadiens in NHL action at Rogers Place on Thursday, beginning at 9:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Canadiens vs. Oilers game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Habs vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Canadiens and Oilers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 64% chance of defeating the Canadiens.
According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Canadiens vs. Oilers odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Canadiens | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-125) | -1.5 (+110) |
| Moneyline | +190 | -225 |
| Total | o6 (-120) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Canadiens vs. Oilers picks and best bet
Our predictions, matched with the current odds, reveal the top betting picks for this game, detailed in our best NHL bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Canadiens +1.5 | -125 |
| Moneyline | Canadiens | +190 |
| Total | Under 6 | +100 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Canadiens +1.5 at the spread.
Canadiens vs. Oilers player props
Who will score a goal in Canadiens vs. Oilers?
According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Oilers.
Our projections give Draisaitl a 52.5% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is an 11.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 37.2% |
| Zachary Bolduc | 26.6% |
| Nick Suzuki | 26.2% |
| Ivan Demidov | 25.7% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 22.4% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 52.5% |
| Connor McDavid | 37.2% |
| Andrew Mangiapane | 24.4% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 23.9% |
| Noah Philp | 23.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 7.7% |
| Ivan Demidov | 5.0% |
| Zachary Bolduc | 4.9% |
| Nick Suzuki | 4.5% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 3.6% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 11.9% |
| Connor McDavid | 7.0% |
| Andrew Mangiapane | 4.6% |
| Noah Philp | 4.3% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 4.2% |
Habs vs. Oilers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Oilers and Canadiens at Rogers Place is scheduled to start at 9:00PM ET.
- Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Thursday, October 23, 2025
- Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Place
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Canadiens vs. Oilers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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