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Canadiens vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Oilers NHL game on October 23, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
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NHL
Canadiens
5
6
Oct 24, 1AM Rogers Place
Oilers
Oct 24, 1AM Rogers Place
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Canadiens
1315
Oilers
1236
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
CanadiensMTL
Win %
0%
100%
OilersEDM
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Canadiens
1315
Oilers
1236
P3 19:48 Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 19:16 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P3 18:50 Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
P3 18:35 Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 18:19 Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 18:09 Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 16:12 Brett Kulak shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 16:04 Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 16:02 Shot missed by Brett Kulak
P3 15:17 Mike Matheson shot blocked by Jake Walman
P3 15:05 Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 14:55 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 14:13 Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 13:52 Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 13:36 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 13:31 Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Jake Walman
P3 13:08 Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 12:55 Brett Kulak shot blocked by Jayden Struble
P3 12:50 Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 12:17 Power play - Goal scored by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins assisted by Connor McDavid and Evan Bouchard
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:48
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 19:36
Giveaway by Evan Bouchard in defensive zone
P3 19:16
SHOT
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P3 19:10
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P3 19:10
Stoppage - Icing
P3 18:58
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P3 18:51
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P3 18:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
P3 18:35
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 18:22
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P3 18:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 18:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 16:28
Giveaway by Noah Philp in offensive zone
P3 16:12
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 16:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 16:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Kulak
P3 15:57
Giveaway by Noah Dobson in defensive zone
P3 15:17
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Jake Walman
P3 15:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 14:55
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 14:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 13:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 13:38
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P3 13:38
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 13:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 13:31
SHOT
Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Jake Walman
P3 13:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 12:55
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Jayden Struble
P3 12:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 12:17
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
P3 12:17
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins assisted by Connor McDavid and Evan Bouchard
5-5
P3 11:19
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P3 11:19
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Leon Draisaitl assisted by Connor McDavid
5-4
P3 11:06
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P3 10:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by David Tomasek
P3 10:41
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P3 10:41
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P3 10:41
Penalty to Mike Matheson 2 minutes for Tripping
P3 10:41
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 10:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Isaac Howard
P3 10:24
Takeaway by Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
P3 09:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P3 09:22
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P3 09:11
Takeaway by Noah Dobson in defensive zone
P3 08:14
Giveaway by Jack Roslovic in offensive zone
P3 08:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P3 08:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 08:00
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
P3 08:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 07:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 06:40
Ty Emberson credited with hit on Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
P3 06:25
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
P3 06:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 06:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 06:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 05:58
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Noah Philp in neutral zone
P3 05:58
Stoppage - Offside
P3 04:34
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P3 04:29
SHOT
Power play - David Tomasek shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 03:10
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P3 02:41
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Noah Philp in defensive zone
P3 02:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 02:10
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
P3 02:09
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Newhook
5-3
P3 01:35
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
P3 01:35
Stoppage - Offside
P3 01:29
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P3 01:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 01:02
Power play - Giveaway by David Tomasek in offensive zone
P3 00:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P3 00:14
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
P3 00:00
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 19:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P2 19:25
Power play - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P2 19:25
Penalty to Mike Matheson 2 minutes for Interference
P2 19:23
SHOT
Isaac Howard shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P2 18:49
Jake Evans won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
P2 18:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 18:38
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P2 18:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P2 18:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 18:00
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
P2 17:43
SHOT
Jake Evans shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P2 17:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 16:57
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P2 16:57
GOAL
Goal scored by Josh Anderson assisted by Brendan Gallagher and Jake Evans
2-3
P2 16:54
Giveaway by Darnell Nurse in defensive zone
P2 16:24
Giveaway by Jayden Struble in defensive zone
P2 15:28
Alexandre Carrier credited with hit on Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
P2 15:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 15:08
Takeaway by Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 14:10
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 14:10
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Evans
P2 13:28
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P2 13:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 13:25
SHOT
Connor McDavid shot blocked by teammate
P2 13:07
SHOT
Jake Walman shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
P2 13:05
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Kirby Dach in offensive zone
P2 13:05
Stoppage - Icing
P2 12:57
Giveaway by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
P2 12:42
Giveaway by Evan Bouchard in offensive zone
P2 12:22
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Joe Veleno in defensive zone
P2 12:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 12:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 11:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
P2 11:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P2 11:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P2 10:37
Noah Philp won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
P2 10:37
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Walman
1-2
P2 09:30
Giveaway by Alexandre Carrier in neutral zone
P2 09:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 08:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 08:21
Shorthanded - Alex Newhook won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P2 08:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P2 07:40
SHOT
Power play - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Jake Evans
P2 07:29
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P2 07:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 07:27
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 07:21
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P2 07:05
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P2 07:05
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 07:02
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P2 07:02
Stoppage - Icing
P2 06:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P2 06:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 06:16
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P2 06:06
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 06:06
Stoppage - Icing
P2 05:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Walman
P2 05:51
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P2 05:51
Stoppage - Icing
P2 05:14
Jake Evans won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
P2 05:14
Stoppage - Icing
P2 05:02
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P2 05:02
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
P2 04:29
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Joe Veleno in defensive zone
P2 04:29
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 04:27
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Jake Walman
P2 04:00
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 04:00
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 03:57
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Adam Henrique
P2 03:54
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Adam Henrique
P2 03:47
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P2 03:35
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 03:35
Stoppage - Icing
P2 02:50
Takeaway by Mike Matheson in offensive zone
P2 02:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 02:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 01:33
Giveaway by Lane Hutson in offensive zone
P2 01:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
P2 01:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Joe Veleno
P2 01:10
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Evan Bouchard in offensive zone
P2 00:46
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
P2 00:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 00:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P2 00:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Calvin Pickard
P2 00:00
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Sam Montembeault
P1 19:34
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P1 19:34
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 18:26
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Andrew Mangiapane
P1 18:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 18:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 17:26
Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
P1 17:26
Stoppage - Icing
P1 17:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 17:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
P1 16:42
SHOT
Connor McDavid shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P1 16:41
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P1 16:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Isaac Howard
P1 16:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Sam Montembeault
P1 16:20
SHOT
Shot missed by David Tomasek
P1 16:12
Canadiens won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
P1 16:10
SHOT
David Tomasek shot blocked by Alex Newhook
P1 15:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 15:15
Noah Philp won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
P1 15:15
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 14:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 14:38
Giveaway by Mattias Ekholm in offensive zone
P1 13:59
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P1 13:27
Giveaway by Jake Evans in offensive zone
P1 13:04
Takeaway by Ty Emberson in neutral zone
P1 13:01
Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
P1 13:01
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 11:55
Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Arber Xhekaj in offensive zone
P1 11:42
Giveaway by Arber Xhekaj in offensive zone
P1 11:31
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
P1 11:31
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 10:55
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P1 10:55
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 10:36
Jake Evans won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P1 10:36
Stoppage - Icing
P1 09:57
Giveaway by Jake Evans in defensive zone
P1 08:45
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Jake Walman
P1 08:27
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P1 08:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 07:28
Shorthanded - Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P1 07:28
GOAL
Goal scored by Canadiens
1-0
P1 07:25
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P1 07:10
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Trent Frederic in neutral zone
P1 07:10
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 06:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 06:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
P1 06:35
Joe Veleno won faceoff against David Tomasek in offensive zone
P1 06:35
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 06:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
P1 06:27
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P1 06:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trent Frederic saved by Sam Montembeault
P1 05:55
SHOT
Matt Savoie shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P1 05:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 04:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Calvin Pickard
P1 04:34
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P1 04:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
P1 04:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P1 03:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
P1 02:33
Giveaway by Ivan Demidov in offensive zone
P1 01:52
Trent Frederic credited with hit on Jake Evans in offensive zone
P1 01:46
Canadiens won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
P1 01:45
SHOT
Trent Frederic shot blocked by teammate
P1 01:44
Noah Philp won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P1 01:44
Noah Philp won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P1 01:44
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:27
SHOT
Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P1 00:46
SHOT
Jake Walman shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
P1 00:19
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
P1 00:19
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:00
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Oilers
27Shots on Goal29
37%Faceoff Win %63%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/2
20Penalty Infraction Mins2
15Hits15
16Shots Blocked19
14Giveaways12
CanadiensMTL
OilersEDM
27Shots on Goal29
37%Faceoff Win %63%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/2
20Penalty Infraction Mins2
15Hits15
16Shots Blocked19
14Giveaways12

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Canadiens vs. Oilers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Oilers
  • Date: Thursday, October 23, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Place

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +195, Oilers -225

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 37%
  • Oilers: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 37%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Oilers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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