Canadiens vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [11/29/2025]

The Colorado Avalanche will square off with the Montreal Canadiens in NHL action at Ball Arena on Saturday, commencing at 3:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Canadiens vs. Avalanche game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Habs vs. Avs prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Saturday's clash between the Canadiens and Avalanche.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 67% chance of defeating the Canadiens.

According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Canadiens vs. Avalanche odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Canadiens	Avalanche
Puck Line	+1.5 (-115)	-1.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+210	-250
Total	o6.5 (+100)	u6.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Canadiens vs. Avalanche picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Canadiens +1.5	-115
Moneyline	Canadiens	+210
Total	Over 6.5	+100

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Canadiens +1.5 at the spread.

Canadiens vs. Avalanche player props

Who will score a goal in Canadiens vs. Avalanche?

According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Avalanche.

Our projections give MacKinnon a 42.5% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is an 8.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Montreal Canadiens

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Cole Caufield	37.2%
Nick Suzuki	27.9%
Ivan Demidov	26.0%
Zachary Bolduc	24.2%
Oliver Kapanen	22.1%

Colorado Avalanche

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Nathan MacKinnon	42.5%
Martin Necas	35.6%
Artturi Lehkonen	33.3%
Cale Makar	28.2%
Brock Nelson	26.7%

First goal scorer predictions

Montreal Canadiens

Player	First Goal Probability
Cole Caufield	7.5%
Nick Suzuki	5.5%
Ivan Demidov	4.7%
Oliver Kapanen	3.7%
Zachary Bolduc	3.5%

Colorado Avalanche

Player	First Goal Probability
Nathan MacKinnon	8.0%
Martin Necas	6.3%
Artturi Lehkonen	5.8%
Cale Makar	5.1%
Brock Nelson	5.0%

Habs vs. Avs game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between the Avalanche and Canadiens at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 3:00PM ET.

• Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Colorado Avalanche
• Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025
• Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

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Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Canadiens vs. Avalanche insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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