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Montana vs. Portland State prediction: Why Portland State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Montana vs Portland State predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Portland State will face Montana in men's college basketball action at Viking Pavilion on Thursday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
The championship matchup pairs two 14–3 teams coming off sharply contrasting conference title games, with New England advancing through a low-scoring, snow-filled AFC Championship win over Denver and Seattle earning its place after a 31–27 NFC Championship thriller against the Rams.
The clash also spotlights two offensive focal points, with Drake Maye guiding New England through a composed, run-focused AFC title performance and Jaxon Smith-Njigba entering as Seattle’s primary playmaker following a 153-yard, one-touchdown outing in the NFC Championship.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Portland State as the most likely winner of the Montana vs. Portland State game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Montana vs. Portland State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Montana and Portland State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Portland State a 72% chance of beating Montana. Our predicted final score has Portland State winning 76-69.
According to our model, Portland State (-4.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 143.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.
Montana vs. Portland State odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Montana | Portland State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-102) | -4.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | +198 | -218 |
| Total | o143.5 (-110) | u143.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Montana vs. Portland State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Portland State -4.5 | -118 |
| Moneyline | Portland State | -218 |
| Total | Over 143.5 | -110 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Portland State -4.5 at the spread.
Montana vs. Portland State game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball game between Portland State and Montana at Viking Pavilion is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Montana vs. Portland State
- Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Viking Pavilion
Conclusion
We predict Portland State, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Montana on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Montana vs. Portland State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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