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Montana vs. Idaho State prediction: Why Montana is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Montana vs Idaho State predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Idaho State and Montana will meet in men's college basketball action at Reed Gym on Thursday, with tipoff at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model gives Montana a slight edge with a 51% win probability over Idaho State.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's Montana vs. Idaho State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Montana vs. Idaho State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Montana and Idaho State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Montana a 51% chance of defeating Idaho State. Our predicted score is Montana 74-74 Idaho State.
According to our model, Idaho State (+1.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 149.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
While there is no way for a men's college basketball game to end in a tie, our prediction of 74-74 is based on each team's average score in the above-mentioned simulations of Montana vs. Idaho State.
Montana vs. Idaho State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Montana | Idaho State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (+102) | +1.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -105 | -104 |
| Total | o149.5 (-110) | u149.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Montana vs. Idaho State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Idaho State +1.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Montana | -105 |
| Total | Under 149.5 | -106 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Idaho State +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Montana vs. Idaho State game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball action between Idaho State and Montana at Reed Gym is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Montana vs. Idaho State
- Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Reed Gym
Conclusion
We predict Montana, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Idaho State on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Montana vs. Idaho State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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