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Montana State vs. Sacramento State prediction: Montana State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Montana State vs Sacramento State predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Sacramento State and Montana State will meet in men's college basketball action at Hornet Pavilion on Thursday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.
The championship matchup pairs two 14–3 teams coming off sharply contrasting conference title games, with New England advancing through a low-scoring, snow-filled AFC Championship win over Denver and Seattle earning its place after a 31–27 NFC Championship thriller against the Rams.
The clash also spotlights two offensive focal points, with Drake Maye guiding New England through a composed, run-focused AFC title performance and Jaxon Smith-Njigba entering as Seattle’s primary playmaker following a 153-yard, one-touchdown outing in the NFC Championship.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Montana State as the most likely winner of the Montana State vs. Sacramento State game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Montana State vs. Sacramento State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Montana State and Sacramento State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Montana State a 64% chance of beating Sacramento State. Our predicted final score has Montana State winning 76-73.
According to our model, Sacramento State (+3.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 153.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.
Montana State vs. Sacramento State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Montana State | Sacramento State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-110) | +3.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -185 | +172 |
| Total | o153.5 (-110) | u153.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Montana State vs. Sacramento State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sacramento State +3.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Sacramento State | +172 |
| Total | Under 153.5 | -108 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Sacramento State +3.5 at the spread.
Montana State vs. Sacramento State game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball action between Sacramento State and Montana State at Hornet Pavilion is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Montana State vs. Sacramento State
- Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Hornet Pavilion
Conclusion
We predict Montana State, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Sacramento State on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Montana State vs. Sacramento State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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