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Montana State vs. Montana prediction: Why Montana is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/14/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Montana State vs Montana predictions for college basketball Saturday.

Montana State-Montana Predictions and Game Preview.
Montana State vs. Montana men's college basketball prediction for Saturday, February 14, 2026.

Men's college basketball action continues on Saturday at 9:00 PM ET as Montana State locks horns with Montana in men's college basketball action at Dahlberg Arena.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Montana as the most likely winner of the Montana State vs. Montana game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Montana State vs. Montana prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Montana State and Montana 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Montana a 57% chance of beating Montana State. Our predicted final score has Montana winning 76-74.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Montana State and Montana each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 145.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of going over.

 

Montana State vs. Montana odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Montana State Montana
Spread +2.5 (-115) -2.5 (-105)
Moneyline +122 -135
Total o145.5 (-110) u145.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Montana State vs. Montana picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Montana -2.5 -105
Moneyline Montana -135
Total Over 145.5 -110

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 145.5 total points.

 

Montana State vs. Montana game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between Montana and Montana State at Dahlberg Arena is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Montana State vs. Montana
  • Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
  • Venue: Dahlberg Arena

Conclusion

We predict Montana, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Montana State on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Montana State vs. Montana insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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