Montana State vs. Idaho prediction: Why Montana State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/10/2026]

Idaho and Montana State will lock horns in men's college basketball action at ICCU Arena on Saturday, with tipoff at 5:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Montana State a slight edge with a 53% win probability over Idaho.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's Montana State vs. Idaho matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Montana State vs. Idaho prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Montana State and Idaho 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Montana State a 53% chance of beating Idaho. Our predicted final score has Montana State winning 74-73.

According to our model, Montana State (+1.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 145.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.

Montana State vs. Idaho odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Montana State vs. Idaho picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: