MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include George Kirby [5/17/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Sunday's games.

Dimers' MLB props are live for May 17, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of George Kirby, Bailey Ober and Nathan Eovaldi.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Giants vs. Athletics and Red Sox vs. Braves, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Sunday, 5/17
Sourced from 130+ total props today, below are the top ten MLB player props for May 17, ranked by probability.
George Kirby under 1.5 walks allowed (-206)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 71.7%
- Game: Padres vs. Mariners (7:20PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Seattle's George Kirby under 1.5 walks allowed. A probability of 71.7% gives this play an edge of 4.3% at -206 odds.
Bailey Ober over 3.5 strikeouts (-157)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 70.0%
- Game: Brewers vs. Twins (2:10PM ET)
Bailey Ober’s strikeouts prop shows a 70.0% probability and an 8.9% edge at -157 odds, according to our model.
Nathan Eovaldi under 6.5 strikeouts (-150)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 67.3%
- Game: Rangers vs. Astros (2:10PM ET)
The data highlights value on Nathan Eovaldi under 6.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 67.3% probability and a 7.3% edge at -150.
Drew Rasmussen under 5.5 hits allowed (-166)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 67.0%
- Game: Marlins vs. Rays (12:15PM ET)
Our model finds value on Drew Rasmussen under 5.5 hits allowed, with a 67.0% probability and an edge of 4.6% at -166 odds.
Eury Perez under 5.5 strikeouts (-147)
- Edge: 7.2%
- Probability: 66.7%
- Game: Marlins vs. Rays (12:15PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Eury Perez under 5.5 strikeouts for Miami, showing an edge of 7.2% at -147 odds.
Robert Gasser over 3.5 strikeouts (-141)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 65.5%
- Game: Brewers vs. Twins (2:10PM ET)
Robert Gasser’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 7.1% at -141 odds, supported by a 65.5% probability according to our model.
Jeff McNeil to get a hit (-172)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 65.5%
- Game: Giants vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Jeff McNeil to get a hit for Athletics, with a 65.5% probability and a 2.2% edge at -172 odds.
Brayan Bello over 3.5 strikeouts (-125)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 63.9%
- Game: Red Sox vs. Braves (1:35PM ET)
The data shows value on Brayan Bello over 3.5 strikeouts, supported by a 63.9% probability at -125 odds and an edge of 8.4%.
Freddy Peralta under 6.5 strikeouts (-125)
- Edge: 8.3%
- Probability: 63.8%
- Game: Yankees vs. Mets (1:40PM ET)
An 8.3% edge on the under 3.5 strikeouts line makes Freddy Peralta a value play in Yankees vs. Mets, supported by a 63.8% probability at -125 odds.
Bailey Ober over 4.5 hits allowed (-149)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 63.7%
- Game: Brewers vs. Twins (2:10PM ET)
Simulations show value on Bailey Ober over 4.5 hits allowed here, with a 63.7% probability and 3.9% edge at -149 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Sunday, May 17, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:59PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres vs. Mariners | George Kirby under 1.5 walks allowed | -206 @ DraftKings | 4.3% | 71.7% |
| Brewers vs. Twins | Bailey Ober over 3.5 strikeouts | -157 @ BetRivers | 8.9% | 70.0% |
| Rangers vs. Astros | Nathan Eovaldi under 6.5 strikeouts | -150 @ DraftKings | 4.6% | 67.0% |
| Marlins vs. Rays | Drew Rasmussen under 5.5 hits allowed | -166 @ DraftKings | 4.6% | 67.0% |
| Marlins vs. Rays | Eury Perez under 5.5 strikeouts | -147 @ Fanatics | 7.2% | 66.7% |
| Brewers vs. Twins | Robert Gasser over 3.5 strikeouts | -141 @ Fanatics | 7.1% | 65.5% |
| Giants vs. Athletics | Jeff McNeil to get a hit | -172 @ Fanatics | 2.2% | 65.5% |
| Red Sox vs. Braves | Brayan Bello over 3.5 strikeouts | -125 @ BetRivers | 8.4% | 63.9% |
| Yankees vs. Mets | Freddy Peralta under 6.5 strikeouts | -125 @ Fanatics | 8.3% | 63.8% |
| Brewers vs. Twins | Bailey Ober over 4.5 hits allowed | -149 @ DraftKings | 3.9% | 63.7% |
Conclusion
For May 17, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as George Kirby, Bailey Ober and Nathan Eovaldi. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.



