Marlins vs. Rays Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Rays MLB game on May 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Marlins
Eury Pérez 2-5, 4.94 ERA
3
6
May 17, 12:15 PM ET Tropicana Field
Rays
Drew Rasmussen 3-1, 3.16 ERA
May 17, 12:15 PM ET Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 11 1
Rays
1 0 0 3 1 1 0 0 X 6 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    0%
  • Rays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Otto Lopez pops out to shallow center field to Taylor Walls.
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 X. Edwards 2B5121001.4000.800
2 L. Hicks 1B4000011.0000.200
3 O. Lopez SS4121000.5001.350
4 K. Stowers RF3011011.3330.833
5 C. Norby DH4010000.2500.750
6 J. Marsee CF3020010.6671.750
7 L. Jiménez 3B4010001.2500.500
8 H. Hernández LF1000000.0000.000
9 J. Mack C2010000.5001.000
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Simpson LF4000001.0000.000
2 J. Caminero 3B2112121.5002.750
3 J. Aranda 1B4000001.0000.000
4 Y. Díaz DH3111110.3331.833
5 R. Palacios 2B3000011.0000.250
6 J. DeLuca RF4120000.5001.250
7 C. Mullins CF3210010.3330.833
8 N. Fortes C4110000.2500.500
9 T. Walls SS3013011.3331.500

Marlins vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Marlins vs. Rays
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 12:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rays favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Marlins +136, Rays -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Marlins: 40%
  • Rays: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 40%, while the Rays have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.