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Read Article MLB Player Props Today: Saturday's Top Plays Include Shinnosuke Ogasawara [7/12/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
The best MLB player prop picks for Saturday.
Our MLB player props for Saturday, July 12, 2025, are locked in, chosen through groundbreaking simulations and innovative machine learning.
These MLB player props are designed to enhance your betting strategy and feature players such as Shinnosuke Ogasawara, Masataka Yoshida and Mauricio Dubon.
Three of today's prop betting opportunities are listed below, with Dimers Pro subscribers getting unlimited access to our full suite of prop picks, including the top MLB prop of the day.
Today's full list of MLB prop bets is led by a player in the Guardians vs. White Sox game to go over his hits allowed line, with our in-house predictive model finding an edge of 14% at +120 odds.
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While the MLB prop picks on this page for Saturday are sorted by win probability, betting on likelihood alone means leaving money on the table.
Smart bettors chase edge—not just probability—and the highest-edge picks are reserved for Dimers Pro users to give them the best chance at winning.
Shinnosuke Ogasawara Over 11.5 Outs Recorded (-165)
- Probability: 75.7%
- Edge: 13.4%
- Game: Nationals vs. Brewers (4:10PM ET)
Our model has flagged a standout MLB prop for Saturday's Nationals vs. Brewers matchup, zeroing in on Washington's Shinnosuke Ogasawara. With a 75.7% chance of hitting, we suggest betting on Shinnosuke Ogasawara Over 11.5 Outs Recorded at -165 odds, offering an edge of 13.4%.
Masataka Yoshida To Get a Hit (-210)
- Probability: 70.7%
- Edge: 2.9%
- Game: Rays vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET)
Our model has discovered another high-probability prop for Saturday's MLB action, with Boston's Masataka Yoshida in our sights in the Rays-Red Sox game. We suggest betting on Masataka Yoshida To Get a Hit with an edge of 2.9% at -210 odds.
Mauricio Dubon To Get a Hit (-155)
- Probability: 66.4%
- Edge: 5.7%
- Game: Rangers vs. Astros (7:35PM ET)
According to our analysis, another strong prop for today's MLB action focuses on Houston's Mauricio Dubon in the Rangers vs. Astros game. The recommended bet is Mauricio Dubon To Get a Hit at -155 odds, with a 66.4% chance of hitting and a 5.7% edge.
MLB Player Prop Picks: Saturday, July 12, 2025
A quick summary of today’s top three props by probability according to our model as of 1:56PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Probability | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals vs. Brewers | Shinnosuke Ogasawara Over 11.5 Outs Recorded | -165 @ BetMGM | 75.7% | 13.4% |
| Rays vs. Red Sox | Masataka Yoshida To Get a Hit | -210 @ BetMGM | 70.7% | 2.9% |
| Rangers vs. Astros | Mauricio Dubon To Get a Hit | -155 @ BetMGM | 66.4% | 5.7% |
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Saturday's MLB props include a standout play with an edge of 14% on the best available odds—the kind of high-value bet you won't find by chasing probability alone.
Dimers Pro users have access to 237 MLB player props at the time of writing, all backed by real betting value.
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More About MLB
The prop bets on this page are part of our MLB player props and MLB best bets series.
Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB betting news, data-driven MLB predictions, MLB betting trends and World Series odds.
Conclusion
For July 12, 2025, our MLB prop bets are locked and loaded, featuring players like Shinnosuke Ogasawara, Masataka Yoshida and Mauricio Dubon. Powered by the latest data and advanced simulations, these picks are here to make sure you're betting smarter, not harder.
With the help of AI and automation, this article delivers today's MLB prop bets and insights quickly and accurately, while human oversight ensures high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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