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Read Article MLB Player Props Today: Thursday's Top Plays Include Jameson Taillon [6/12/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
The best MLB player prop picks for Thursday.
Our MLB player props for Thursday, June 12, 2025, are locked and loaded, chosen through cutting-edge simulations and high-tech machine learning.
These MLB player props are designed to enhance your betting strategy and feature players such as Jameson Taillon, Kodai Senga and Nolan Arenado.
Three of today's prop betting opportunities are listed below, with Dimers Pro members getting unlimited access to our full suite of prop picks, including the top MLB prop of the day.
Today's full list of MLB prop bets is led by a player in the Tigers vs. Orioles game to go over his earned runs line, with our in-house predictive model identifying an edge of 14% at +130 odds.
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While the MLB prop picks on this page for Thursday are sorted by win probability, betting on likelihood alone means leaving money on the table.
Smart bettors chase edge—not just probability—and the highest-edge picks are reserved for Dimers Pro users to give them the best chance at winning.
Jameson Taillon Over 1.5 Earned Runs (-135)
- Probability: 67.9%
- Edge: 10.5%
- Game: Pirates vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET)
Our model has found a standout MLB prop for Thursday's Pirates vs. Cubs matchup, focusing on CHI Cubs' Jameson Taillon. With a 67.9% chance of hitting, we suggest betting on Jameson Taillon Over 1.5 Earned Runs at -135 odds, offering an edge of 10.5%.
Kodai Senga Over 1.5 Earned Runs (-130)
- Probability: 65.1%
- Edge: 8.6%
- Game: Nationals vs. Mets (1:10PM ET)
Our model has identified another high-probability prop for today's MLB action, with NY Mets' Kodai Senga in our sights in the Nationals-Mets game. We suggest betting on Kodai Senga Over 1.5 Earned Runs with an edge of 8.6% at -130 odds.
Nolan Arenado To Get a Hit (-165)
- Probability: 64.5%
- Edge: 2.2%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)
According to our analysis, another strong prop for Thursday's MLB action focuses on St. Louis' Nolan Arenado in the Cardinals vs. Brewers matchup. Our recommended bet is Nolan Arenado To Get a Hit at -165 odds, with a 64.5% chance of hitting and a 2.2% edge.
MLB Player Prop Picks: Thursday, June 12, 2025
A quick summary of today’s top three props by probability according to our model as of 12:56PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Probability | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates vs. Cubs | Jameson Taillon Over 1.5 Earned Runs | -135 @ DraftKings | 67.9% | 10.5% |
| Nationals vs. Mets | Kodai Senga Over 1.5 Earned Runs | -130 @ DraftKings | 65.1% | 8.6% |
| Cardinals vs. Brewers | Nolan Arenado To Get a Hit | -165 @ BetMGM | 64.5% | 2.2% |
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Thursday's MLB props include a standout play with an edge of 14% on the best available odds—the kind of high-value bet you won't find by chasing probability alone.
Dimers Pro users have access to 145 MLB player props at the time of writing, all backed by real betting value.
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The prop bets on this page are part of our MLB player props and MLB best bets series.
Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB betting news, data-driven MLB predictions, MLB betting trends and World Series odds.
Conclusion
For June 12, 2025, our MLB prop bets are locked and loaded, featuring players like Jameson Taillon, Kodai Senga and Nolan Arenado. Backed by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
With the help of AI and automation, this article delivers today's MLB prop bets and insights quickly and accurately, while human oversight ensures high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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