May 20, 2026
Brewers vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [5/20/2026]
Read Article Home run predictions for Wednesday include Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber [5/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, May 20, 2026, feature Aaron Judge as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Wednesday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run picks today.
Home run predictions for May 20, 2026
See which hitters join Judge on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1180.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 23.6% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 23.6% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 22.0% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 21.1% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 21.0% |
| Brent Rooker (Athletics) | 20.5% |
| Jake Burger (Rangers) | 19.7% |
| Juan Soto (Mets) | 18.5% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 18.2% |
| Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics) | 18.1% |
Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.6% chance to go deep, followed by Nick Kurtz (23.6%) and Shea Langeliers (22.0%).
Kyle Schwarber and Jo Adell are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Wednesday's home run picks [5/20/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro highlights today’s top home run prop.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (Cubs) to hit a home run
- Probability: 12.4%
- Odds: +1180
- Edge: 4.6%
- Game: Brewers vs. Cubs (7:40 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Kyle Harrison
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Chicago slugger Pete Crow-Armstrong rates as a value play at +1180 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 4.6% edge.
Against Brewers starter Kyle Harrison, the data supports Crow-Armstrong as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 19 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For May 20, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Nick Kurtz and Shea Langeliers projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Pete Crow-Armstrong who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.6% edge at +1180 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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