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Home run predictions for Mariners vs. Blue Jays Game 1 include Cal Raleigh, Daulton Varsho [10/12/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB Playoffs slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for October 12, 2025, are based on Sunday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, October 12, 2025, are here—with Cal Raleigh topping the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Sunday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for October 12, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 21.8%
Eugenio Suarez (Mariners) 19.1%
Anthony Santander (Blue Jays) 18.1%
Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays) 🔒
Daulton Varsho (Blue Jays) 🔒
George Springer (Blue Jays) 🔒
Julio Rodriguez (Mariners) 🔒
Jorge Polanco (Mariners) 🔒
Dominic Canzone (Mariners) 🔒
Josh Naylor (Mariners) 🔒

Our analysis shows Raleigh leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 21.8% chance to go yard, followed by Eugenio Suarez (19.1%) and Anthony Santander (18.1%).

Vladimir Guerrero and Daulton Varsho are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Cal Raleigh 2025.
Cal Raleigh appears in our home run predictions on Sunday, October 12, 2025.

Sunday's playoffs home run picks [10/12/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Dominic Canzone (Mariners) to hit a home run

Ranked as one of the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Seattle slugger Dominic Canzone offers serious value at +825 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 3.5%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Canzone one of the best home run picks today on Sunday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 10 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB postseason schedule for today [Sunday, October 12, 2025]

Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" — perfect for home run betting

To make the most of our dinger picks, headlined by the strong betting edge on Dominic Canzone, check out the latest Bet365 bonus code of "DIMERS" that unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet – win or lose.

This Referral Code is used for marketing/tracking purposes only. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 of greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&CS, time limits and exclusions apply..

Conclusion

For October 12, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Cal Raleigh, Eugenio Suarez and Anthony Santander projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Dominic Canzone who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 3.5% edge at +825 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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