Home run predictions for Sunday include Shohei Ohtani, Jo Adell [6/21/2026]

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 27.1% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (21.5%) and Kyle Tucker (20.5%).

Nick Kurtz and Jo Adell are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Sunday's home run picks [6/21/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 20.5%
• Odds: +558
• Edge: 5.3%
• Game: Orioles vs. Dodgers (4:10 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Brandon Young

Ranked among today’s top three home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +558 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 5.3% edge.

With Brandon Young on the mound for the Orioles, the data supports Tucker as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For June 21, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Kyle Tucker projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Tucker in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 5.3% edge at +558 odds.

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