MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Pirates vs. Cubs play [4/9/2026]

Today’s MLB picks for April 09, 2026 are here, with Pirates vs. Cubs and Giants vs. Orioles among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s MLB action.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest baseball odds to discover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of MLB best bets tonight [4/9, updated 7:33PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s best baseball bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, April 9, 2026.

Pirates vs. Cubs over 6.5 runs (-120)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Matchup: Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on over 6.5 runs in Pirates vs. Cubs at -120 odds. A 58.8% probability produces an edge of 4.3%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Giants vs. Orioles over 8.5 runs (-110)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Giants vs. Orioles (7:15PM ET, Friday)

Giants vs. Orioles over 8.5 runs carries a 3.5% edge and a probability of 55.9% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Guardians vs. Braves over 8.5 runs (-112)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Matchup: Guardians vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Friday)

Guardians vs. Braves over 8.5 runs at -112 odds shows a 2.9% edge, supported by a 55.7% probability in simulations.

Rockies vs. Padres over 7.5 runs (-112)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Thursday)

A 2.9% edge and 55.7% probability make Rockies vs. Padres over 7.5 runs at a value play in the Rockies vs. Padres matchup, per our model.

Diamondbacks ML (+153)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 42.5%
• Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Friday)

Diamondbacks ML at +153 odds presents a 2.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 42.5%.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies over 8.5 runs (-102)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 53%
• Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on over 8.5 runs in Diamondbacks vs. Phillies at -102 odds, supported by an edge of 2.5%.

Twins vs. Blue Jays over 9 runs (-120)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 56.7%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Friday)

Our model has uncovered value on Twins vs. Blue Jays over 9 runs at -120 odds. A 56.7% probability produces a 2.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Cubs -1.5 (+160)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 40.5%
• Matchup: Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)

A 2.0% edge on a 40.5% probability makes Cubs -1.5 at +160 odds a solid value play in today's Pirates vs. Cubs matchup.

MLB best bets summary: Thursday, 4/9/2026

As of 7:33PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Pirates vs. Cubs	Over 6.5 Runs	-120 @ FanDuel	4.3%	58.8%
Giants vs. Orioles	Over 8.5 Runs	-110 @ FanDuel	3.5%	55.9%
Guardians vs. Braves	Over 8.5 Runs	-112 @ DraftKings	2.9%	55.7%
Rockies vs. Padres	Over 7.5 Runs	-112 @ FanDuel	2.9%	55.7%
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies	Diamondbacks ML	+153 @ DraftKings	2.7%	42.5%
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies	Over 8.5 Runs	-102 @ FanDuel	2.5%	53%
Twins vs. Blue Jays	Over 9 Runs	-120 @ FanDuel	2.1%	56.7%
Pirates vs. Cubs	Cubs -1.5	+160 @ FanDuel	2.0%	40.5%

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [4/9/2026]

• White Sox vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Thursday)
• Rockies vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Thursday)
• Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
• Marlins vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• D-Backs vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• Angels vs. Reds (6:45PM ET, Friday)
• Twins vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Friday)
• Yankees vs. Rays (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Athletics vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Guardians vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Friday)
• Giants vs. Orioles (7:15PM ET, Friday)

AI betting support with Dimebot

Learn how Dimebot uses Dimers’ data to deliver quick answers and insights, helping you make faster, more informed decisions.

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for April 9, 2026, featuring plays such as over 6.5 runs in the Pirates vs. Cubs matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Giants vs. Orioles matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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