D-Backs vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Phillies MLB game on April 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
D-Backs
Michael Soroka 2-0, 0.90 ERA
5
4
Apr 10, 6:40 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Jesús Luzardo 1-1, 4.97 ERA
Apr 10, 6:40 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 5 7 0
Phillies
4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    100%
  • Phillies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Trea Turner flies out to left field to Tim Tawa.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Marte 2B4112012.2500.650
2 I. Vargas 1B4111002.2500.500
3 G. Perdomo SS3010012.3330.833
4 J. McCann C2012000.5001.500
5 N. Arenado 3B4000001.0000.000
6 J. Fernandez DH4110001.2500.500
7 T. Tawa LF3100010.0000.250
8 A. Thomas CF4110000.2500.500
9 J. Barrosa RF4010002.2500.500
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS5110002.2000.400
2 K. Schwarber DH3100012.0000.250
3 B. Harper 1B4121001.5001.250
4 B. Marsh LF4113103.2501.250
5 B. Stott 2B3010001.3330.833
6 A. García RF4000002.0000.000
7 A. Bohm 3B4000003.0000.000
8 J. Realmuto C4010001.2500.750
9 J. Crawford CF2010011.5002.250

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D-Backs vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: D-Backs vs. Phillies
  • Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: D-Backs +160, Phillies -160

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • D-Backs: 42%
  • Phillies: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 42%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our D-Backs vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.