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Read Article MLB picks today: Saturday's MLB best bets include Diamondbacks vs. Phillies play [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Saturday, April 11, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for April 11, 2026 are here, with Diamondbacks vs. Phillies and Marlins vs. Tigers among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s MLB slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest baseball odds to discover real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets tonight [4/11, updated 9:02PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, April 11, 2026.
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies over 8.5 runs (-105)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 55.7%
- Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Phillies (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
Our model has identified value on over 8.5 runs in Diamondbacks vs. Phillies at -105 odds. A 55.7% probability produces an edge of 4.5%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Marlins vs. Tigers over 6 runs (-115)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 57.8%
- Matchup: Marlins vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
Marlins vs. Tigers over 6 runs carries a 4.3% edge and a probability of 57.8% at -115 odds, according to our model.
Giants vs. Orioles over 8 runs (-118)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 58.2%
- Matchup: Giants vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
Giants vs. Orioles over 8 runs at -118 odds shows a 4.0% edge, supported by a 58.2% probability in simulations.
Twins vs. Blue Jays over 8 runs (-110)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 56%
- Matchup: Twins vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET, Sunday)
A 3.6% edge and 56% probability make Twins vs. Blue Jays over 8 runs at a value play in the Twins vs. Blue Jays matchup, per our model.
Angels vs. Reds over 8.5 runs (-102)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 53.7%
- Matchup: Angels vs. Reds (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
Angels vs. Reds over 8.5 runs at -102 odds presents a 3.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.7%.
Athletics vs. Mets over 8 runs (-105)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 54.2%
- Matchup: Athletics vs. Mets (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
Our model finds value on over 8 runs in Athletics vs. Mets at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 3.0%.
Rockies vs. Padres over 7.5 runs (-110)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Matchup: Rockies vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
Our model has uncovered value on Rockies vs. Padres over 7.5 runs at -110 odds. A 55.3% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Rangers vs. Dodgers over 8 runs (-114)
- Edge: 2.5%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Matchup: Rangers vs. Dodgers (9:10PM ET, Saturday)
A 2.5% edge on a 55.8% probability makes over 8 runs at -114 odds a solid value play in today's Rangers vs. Dodgers matchup.
Tigers -1.5 (+122)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 47.3%
- Matchup: Marlins vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
Our model projects value on Tigers -1.5 at +122 odds. A 47.3% probability produces a 2.3% edge, making Tigers the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.
Nationals vs. Brewers over 7.5 runs (-115)
- Edge: 2.1%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Matchup: Nationals vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Nationals vs. Brewers over 7.5 runs at -115 odds shows a 55.6% probability and a 2.1% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Saturday, 4/11/2026
As of 9:02PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks vs. Phillies | Over 8.5 Runs | -105 @ FanDuel | 4.5% | 55.7% |
| Marlins vs. Tigers | Over 6 Runs | -115 @ FanDuel | 4.3% | 57.8% |
| Giants vs. Orioles | Over 8 Runs | -118 @ DraftKings | 4.0% | 58.2% |
| Twins vs. Blue Jays | Over 8 Runs | -110 @ BetMGM | 3.6% | 56% |
| Angels vs. Reds | Over 8.5 Runs | -102 @ DraftKings | 3.3% | 53.7% |
| Athletics vs. Mets | Over 8 Runs | -105 @ BetMGM | 3.0% | 54.2% |
| Rockies vs. Padres | Over 7.5 Runs | -110 @ BetMGM | 3.0% | 55.3% |
| Rangers vs. Dodgers | Over 8 Runs | -114 @ FanDuel | 2.5% | 55.8% |
| Marlins vs. Tigers | Tigers -1.5 | +122 @ FanDuel | 2.3% | 47.3% |
| Nationals vs. Brewers | Over 7.5 Runs | -115 @ BetMGM | 2.1% | 55.6% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [4/11/2026]
- Rangers vs. Dodgers (9:10PM ET, Saturday)
- Astros vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Saturday)
- Giants vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
- D-Backs vs. Phillies (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
- Twins vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET, Sunday)
- Angels vs. Reds (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Athletics vs. Mets (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Marlins vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Yankees vs. Rays (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Nationals vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
- White Sox vs. Royals (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Red Sox vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET, Sunday)
- Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Sunday)
- Rockies vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Rangers vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Guardians vs. Braves (7:20PM ET, Sunday)
What Is Dimebot?
Dimebot is Dimers’ AI bet assistant, designed to surface swift insights, answer betting questions, and help you explore data more efficiently.
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for April 11, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Diamondbacks vs. Phillies matchup and over 6 runs in the Marlins vs. Tigers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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